Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| The Federalist Hamilton Chardonnay Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $15.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa Sparina Gavi del Comune di Gavi 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| City Limits Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cole Cellars Sauvignon Blanc California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Frenzy Mount Richmond Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Istine Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J J Prum Wehlener Sonnenuhr Riesling Mosel Spatlese 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moon Tree Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rozes Infanta Isabel Tawny Porto 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Shade Mountain Vineyards Anniversary White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sleight of Hands Cellars Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Soaked Strawberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $5.19 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three Brooms Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Almaden Cabernet Sauvignon red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Anthony Road Dry Riesling Finger Lakes 2022 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Browne Bitner Estate Pinot Gris Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Vieille Cure Fronsac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Thieuley Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Malbec red · Rueda / Toro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Gildas Cormerais Muscadet Sevre et Maine sur Lie 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Pinson Mont de Milieu Chablis 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.73 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Rostaing Rene Rostaing Ampodium Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Vieil Orme Touraine Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fess Parker Ashley's Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firefly Ridge Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Sofia Brut Rose Monterey County sparkling · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frenzy Mount Richmond Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden California Chardonnay 2022 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 6% premium | <1% |
| Painted Fox Winery Cabernet Franc York County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Paul Dolan Vineyards Zinfandel Mendocino County 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Chardonnay Galilee 2022 white · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot On Tap Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Black Box Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.99 $5.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Calcada Vinho Verde Blanc 2021 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casal Garcia Rose Vinho Verde rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chateau Laclaverie Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Moncontour Methode Traditionelle Cremant de Loire Brut sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.23 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau la Vieille Cure Fronsac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $21.43 $36.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gelida Blanc de Blancs Brut Natural Gran Reserva Cava 2019 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Luke Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Organic Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Ruggeri Argeo Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Salomon Undhof Terrassen Riesling Kremstal 2020 white · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Three Brooms Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Water Wheel The Estate Red Blend Bendigo 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Acrobat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
6,151–6,200 of 9,968← PreviousNext →