Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barnard Griffin Rapport Columbia Valley 2016 red · Washington · 500 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cocchi Americano Bianco white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Tecedeiras Lilas Red Douro 2020 red · Douro · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin Chambre d'Amour L'Original Blanc Doux Cotes de Gascogne Off Dry 2024 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | 35% premium | 1% |
| Borges Gatao Vinho Verde Blanco white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | 35% premium | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Cecchi Sangiovese Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 38.5% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Vynecrest Vineyards and Winery Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | — | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Layer Cake Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 35% premium | 4% |
| Macarico Aglianico del Vulture 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Thorn Hill Vineyards Big Magic Red Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Waipapa Bay Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Karim Vionnet Beaujolais Villages 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 35% premium | <1% |
| Gen 5 Sauvignon Blanc Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Crios Sustentia Malbec Organic Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 4.8% | ▲ 15.8% | 36% premium | 4% |
| Studio by Miraval IGP Mediterranee Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | — | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Santa Margherita Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cannonball Merlot California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | <1% |
| De Wetsof Limestone Hill Chardonnay Robertson Vallley 2023 white · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simi Brightful Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | 36% premium | 2% |
| Le Vigne Winery Cuvee Bordeaux Style Blend Paso Robles 2017 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Rocailles Savoie Rose 2025 rosé · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luke Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark West Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | 36% premium | 4% |
| Rupert and Rothschild Vignerons Classique Red Blend Western Cape 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Ribiera Tintorela Vin de France Rouge Non Vintage red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| King Estate Pinot Gris Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.89 $22.89 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Riunite Bianco white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 1.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| The Butchers Daughter Cotes du Rhone Reserve 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Santa Julia El Zorrito Natural Orange Wine Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Antucura Calcura Vista Flores Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Barbera d'Alba 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Moroki Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Loosen Bros Dr Lo Alcohol Removed Riesling Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Castello di Meleto Vin Santo di Chianti Classico dessert · Tuscany · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roscato Rosso Dolce red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 36.4% | 37% premium | 2% |
| Bodegas Breca Garnacha Calatayud 2017 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Scott Bla Bla Bla Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kindzmaurali Red Wine Semi Sweet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 15.4% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bell'Agio Chianti red · Tuscany · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 14.5% | ▲ 26.7% | 37% premium | 1% |
| Mark West Black Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | ▲ 5.3% | ▲ 25.0% | 37% premium | 3% |
| Wellsley Farms Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Wonders Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 33% typically +5% if it rises |
| El Coto Rioja Crianza red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▼ 6.8% | ▼ 2.9% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Calafe Irpinia Rosato 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Sauvignon Blanc Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| San Filippo Lo Scorno Rosso di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Victoria Ordonez Jabega Rosado Malaga 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
6,151–6,200 of 6,416← PreviousNext →