Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bibbiano Chianti Classico Bibbiano 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Deep and Dark Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 6% premium | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bodega Colome Malbec Calchaqui Valley Salta Estate 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boomtown by Dusted Valley Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cade Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chaddsford Winery White Sangria white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Fondreche Ventoux Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mark West Pinot Noir 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mitravelas Red on Black Peloponnese 2023 red · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patrick Noel Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pendulum Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rene Geoffroy Expression Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.19 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rieslingfreak No 33 Riesling Clare Valley 2023 white · South Australia · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sindicat La Figuera Grenache 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Elu Red Napa Valley 2015 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Winery Grenache Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Arado Malbec Uco Valley Reserva red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot on Tap Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cole Cellars Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Parent Selection Pomone Cote d'Or Rouge 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Barons de Rothschild Lafite Los Vascos Chardonnay Colchagua 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fish Eye Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Ladoix Le Clou D'Orge 2020 red · 750 ml | $25.53 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Perspective Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $30.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rickshaw Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sierra Del Mar Chardonnay Clarksburg 2023 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Three Brooms Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Torbreck The Steading Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Peach Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bargetto Merlot Central Coast 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Briganti Pinot Grigio d'Abruzzo 2026 white · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cuvee Clemence Entre Deux Mers Bordeaux Blanc 2024 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| L'Ecole No 41 Merlot Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Morgan Metallico Chardonnay Santa Lucia Highlands Unoaked 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paul Chollet Cremant de Bourgogne Brut sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antichi Giochi Voulet Malvasia di Casorzo 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Strawberry Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Butcher's Daughter Sauvignon Blanc Pays DOc 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | 6% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Haut Maurin Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.99 | ▲ 20.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Citluk Wines of Illyria Plavac Mali Herzegovina 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Tourmaline Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Eola Hills Patriot Red Blend Non Vintage red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Franzia Merlot red · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sandy Cove Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saracina Unoaked Chardonnay Mendocino County 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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