Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wine Chat A Grown Up Stocking Stuffer Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▲ 7.7% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Boutinot Les Coteaux Schisteux Cotes du Rhone Villages Seguret Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Cabernet Sauvignon Indian Wells Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Tenuta Regaleali Grillo Sicilia 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Lauzeraies Rose Tavel 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Demarie Luigi Vino Frizzante Roero Rose rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Dona Paula Estate Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Muga Anden Crianza Rioja 2023 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stony Run Winery Viognier Lehigh Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 32.0% | 32% premium | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| 90 Plus Cellars Prosecco Brut Lot 50 sparkling · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | 4% |
| Alvear PX Sherry Spain dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Blue Nun Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 25.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Manciat Macon Charnay 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Fleur Renaissance Sauternes dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Natura Pinot Noir Twin Pack 2x750 mL red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Sainte Roseline Le Cloitre Cotes de Provence Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Famiglie Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| De Wetshof Limestone Hill Chardonnay Robertson 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bottega Vinaia Pinot Grigio Trentino white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 17.7% | 33% premium | 2% |
| Muralhas Vinho Verde 2022 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nautilus Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Vatan Nisia Old Vine Verdejo Rueda 2024 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| SoDo Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Deadbird red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.13 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aveleda Loureiro Vinho Verde 2021 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Conde Valdemar Rioja Reserva 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tropical Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Zoinos Brut Epirus 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabien Jouves Haute Cote de Fruit Malbec Cahors 2023 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Unshackled Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▼ 14.8% | ▼ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cordero di Montezemolo Langhe Arneis 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dupeuble Beaujolais Rouge 2023 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolais Morgon 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.13 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sagemoor Without Rehearsal Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron Philippe de Rothchild Escudo Rojo Carmenere Colchagua Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Chateau de Trinquevedel Tavel Rose 2022 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Hi Prosecco Extra Dry Non Vintage sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | 34% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Rocca delle Macie Sasyr Tuscan Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▲ 10.0% | ▲ 37.5% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chandon Rose rosé · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Our Daily Red Organic Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | 1% |
| Catena Appellation San Carlos Cabernet Franc Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| HER Shiraz Western Cape South Africa red · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Val delle Rose Morellino di Scansano Rosamante 2022 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villota Selvanevada Blanco Rioja 2024 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mont Perat Bordeaux Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mouton Cadet Bordeaux Rouge red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.83 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| South Shore Wine Company Pet Nat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Vina Robles Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Frescobaldi Nipozzano Chianti Riserva Rufina 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
6,101–6,150 of 6,416← PreviousNext →