Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granza Ecologico Verdejo Rueda 2022 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Starborough Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 13.3% | 30% premium | 3% |
| Dominio de la Granadilla Verdejo 9 Meses Rueda 2020 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $5.13 $19.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Renwood Estate Zinfandel Renwood Ranch Amador County 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cockburn's Port Late Bottled Vintage dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lindquist Syrah Central Coast 2019 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luke Merlot Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2022 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Terra d'Aligi Tatone Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2019 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Red Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.49 | ▲ 2.3% | ▲ 2.3% | 30% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Gueguen Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Scacciadiavoli Montefalco Rosso 2019 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Umberto Cesari Sangiovese Reserva red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | 30% premium | 3% |
| Maschio Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.89 $5.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Santa Julia El Cabrito Natural Cabernet Sauvignon Maipu 2023 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Webb Winery William White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Lucky Draw Cabernet Sauvignon California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ecco Domani 90 Calories Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Masseria Li Veli Orion Primitivo Salento 2023 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nine Hats Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Feind Aliga Balatonfured Csopak Hungary White Blend 2024 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Julias Dazzle Rose Columbia Valley 2023 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Routestock Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Giesen Estate Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $15.99 | ▲ 23.1% | — | 31% premium | 3% |
| Le Ragose Valpolicella Ripasso Classico Superiore 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orchard Lane Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $10.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Thistle and Weed Duwweltjie Chenin Blanc Paarl 2019 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Folonari Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simi Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | 31% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wente Vineyards Winemakers Selection Meritage Livermore Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ben Marco Sin Limites Malbec Organic Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Forjas del Salnes Leirana Albarino Rias Baixas 2024 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Cottage Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Recougne Bordeaux Superieur Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| Nine Hats Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wairau River Pinot Gris Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| A to Z Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bouvet Ladubay Tresor Brut Loire Rose sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Il Bianco di Ciccio Abruzzo white · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.34 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Magna Montis Malbec Tupungato Uco Valley 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nine Hats Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bojador Blanc de Blancs Alentejo Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 1% |
| Zensa Organico Primitivo Puglia 2020 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castle Rock Pinot Noir Reserve Russian River Valley 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matias Riccitelli This is Not Another Lovely Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Urban Riesling Mosel 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Ilarria Irouleguy Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Matchbook The Arsonist Chardonnay Dunnigan Hills 2018 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Helechos Ensemblados Malbec Uco Valley 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | <1% |
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