Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chalk Hill Estate Bottled Chardonnay Chalk Hill Appellation Sonoma County 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Casillero del Diablo Carmenere red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Michel Goubard et Fils Mont Avril Pinot Noir Bourgogne Cote Chalonnaise 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet Folatieres 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Vercheres Pinot Noir Bourgogne Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Marc Burgaud Beaujolias Morgon Cote du Py 2024 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joel Gott 815 Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Kings Ridge Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lobetia Organic Garnacha Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Michel Sarrazin Pinot Noir Sous La Roche Givry Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.93 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Placido Chianti red · Tuscany · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▼ 0.6% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Ruinart Champagne Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $89.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Box Tart and Tangy Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 5% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +9% if it rises |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cline Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cycles Gladiator Sauvignon Blanc California 2020 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $2.93 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Langhe Nebbiolo 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $18.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Decoy Merlot Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 8.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Domaine Prieur Brunet Santenay Maladiere 1er Cru Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonnierre Tradition Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Merlot Rutherford 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| GD Vajra Luigi Baudana Barolo Cerreta 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Les Grands Monts Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Paul Brun Terres Dorees Morgon 2018 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lamblin et Fils Chablis Vielles Vignes 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Line 39 Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Pacific Rim Sweet Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | 5% premium | 3% |
| Skinnygirl Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.23 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Addendum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cellers Kripta Bayanus Brut Nature Cava Split 2019 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 375 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudy Bay Pinot Noir Marlborough 2021 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Conti Torraiolo Trebbiano Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.43 $7.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2012 dessert · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $16.73 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2024 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Freemark Abbey Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Menage a Trois Luscious Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quail Oak Merlot California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.5% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +11% if it rises |
| Roscato Sparkling Sweet Red sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 5% premium | 1% |
| Saurus Sauvignon Blanc Patagonia 2023 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stel Mar Chardonnay Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 5% premium | 1% |
| The Arsonist Red Blend California 2018 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Undurraga Carmenere Reserva Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
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