Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Les Rocailles Savoie Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sacha Lichine The Pale Vin de Pays du Var Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | — | 28% premium | 1% |
| Folonari Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.83 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | 28% premium | 1% |
| Librandi Ciro Duca San Felice Riserva 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lungarotti Pometo Sangiovese Umbria 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mt Beautiful Pinot Noir North Canterbury 2018 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alasia Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau de Trinquevedel Tavel Rose 2021 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Salvard Cheverny 2024 red · 750 ml | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Alexander Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inama Vin Soave Soave Classico 2024 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Leonard Kreusch Gewurztraminer white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | 28% premium | 4% |
| Roscato Rosso Dolce Gold red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saracco Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.21 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | 28% premium | 1% |
| Be Human Red Blend Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | 1% |
| Carl Reh Sweet Red Wine red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 35.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cote Mas Pays d'Oc Red red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Drylands Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta do Popa Contos da Terra Douro Tinto 2019 red · Douro · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paco and Lola Celebration Albarino Rias Baixas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Risata Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ruffino Organic Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.13 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Klinker Brick Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2020 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% premium | <1% |
| Santa Ema Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tania and Vincent Careme Spring Chenin Blanc Vouvray 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenshen Red Blend Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | 29% premium | 1% |
| True Myth Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29% premium | 1% |
| Drylands Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taquilino Treixadura Ribeiro 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Time and Direction Wines UpUpDownDownLeftRightLeftRightBASelectStart Grenache Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $7.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gemma di Luna Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 18.5% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| McWilliams Sparkling Shiraz 2024 sparkling · 750 ml | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | — | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Cantina Gabriele Sangiovese Lazio red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Domaine de Montcy Ligere Cheverny 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Val Albarino Rias Biaxas 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de L'Olivette Tradition Bandol Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| MaraBela Sparkling Tea Wild Verbena Nonalcoholic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Yellow Tail Cabernet Sauvignon Whiskey Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.13 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Colome Estate Malbec Calchaqui Valley Salta 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia El Cabrito Natural Cabernet Sauvignon Maipu 2024 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dancing Vines Light Secco Rose La Mancha rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paltrinieri Pira Lambrusco di Sorbara 2023 sparkling · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Volver Single Vineyard Tempranillo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fox Run Vineyards Silvan Riesling 2019 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Carl Reh Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.84 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | 29% premium | 3% |
| Chateau de la Greffiere Chardonnay Macon Milly Lamartine 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | <1% |
| Julias Dazzle Rose Columbia Valley 2022 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Pinot Noir Marlborough red · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | 29% premium | 1% |
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