Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 Cabernet Sauvignon Navarra 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | <1% |
| Annabella Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | ▼ 31.3% | — | 28% below | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Borealis Vintners Pinot Noir Oregon 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% below | <1% |
| Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 1% |
| Chateau Jeremie Corbieres Rouge 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% below | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Trail Box Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 1% |
| Cesari Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2021 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% below | <1% |
| Pieropan Soave Classico 2020 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% below | <1% |
| Franzia Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 3% |
| Two Angels Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2024 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | 28% below | 1% |
| Cellier des Princes Couronne du Prince Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% below | <1% |
| Red Newt Cellars Circle Riesling Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% below | <1% |
| Casillero del Diablo Seleccion Semi Sweet Red Central Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 1% |
| Paniza Garnacha from Slate Carinena 2018 red · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% below | <1% |
| Pinhal da Torre Alqueve Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 28% below | <1% |
| Belfiore Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2023 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $1.93 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Gaston Chiquet Tradition Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.0% | 27% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Opici Vineyards Marsala dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Mendoza Vineyards Chamuyo Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| San Felice Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Santa Julia Chenin Dulce Natural Mendoza 2024 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 1% |
| Bonny Doon Vineyard White Wine of The Earth Le Cigare Blanc Central Coast 2021 white · Central Coast · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 1% |
| Santa Julia Juli Red Blend Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Straight Shooter Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Walla Walla Vintners Woven Fields Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.73 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Serre Romani Petits Grains de Folie Cotes Catalanes Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Wellsley Farms Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Le Noble Cuvee Reserve Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Argento Cabernet Franc Mendoza Estate Reserve 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Bodegas David Moreno Rose Rioja 2023 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Valdihuete Verdejo Rueda 2021 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 27% below | 1% |
| Black Pearl Chenin Blanc Swartland 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Seven Hills Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Arbor Mist Blackberry Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | 27% below | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Chablis Fourchaume 1er Cru 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 $39.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 1% |
| Henry Lagarde Teia Red Blend 2023 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Franzia White Zinfandel rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $11.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 27.8% | 27% below | 5% typically +12% if it rises |
| Scarpetta Toscana Frico Sangiovese 2024 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 27% below | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2019 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% below | 1% |
| WT Vintners Syrah Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% below | <1% |
| Castello di Querceto Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% below | 1% |
| Domaine Latour Giraud Caillerets Meursault 1er Cru Rouge 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | 26% below | <1% |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.03 $11.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 27.8% | 26% below | 1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine White Merlot white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 26% below | 1% |
| Moutard Champagne Brut Grand Cuvee sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 26% below | 1% |
| Dr Pauly Bernkasteler Estate QbA Mosel Trocken 2021 red · Mosel · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% below | <1% |
| Pike Road Rose Willamette Valley 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 26% below | <1% |
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