Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Gabriela Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Red Blend California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | — | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +13% if it rises |
| Limited Lot Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | — | — | 34% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Armand de Brignac Ace of Spades Champagne Brut Multi Vintage in Gift Box sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $300 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bar Dog Cabernet Sauvignon and Chardonnay 2 x 750mL Bottles white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | 68% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Double Play Rose Pennsylvania rosé · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Laurent Perrier La Cuvee Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Piccini Chianti Orange Label red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Volver Paso a Paso MWOG Tempranillo red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moillard Grivot Petit Chablis white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ramon Bilbao Early Harvest Verdejo white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Beringer Bros Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | 4% premium | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Buttery Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Meiomi Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Monnalisa Sangiovese di Romagna Superiore red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bottega Fragolino Rosso Italy red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Aveleda Fonte Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards Red Cat Dark Seneca Lake red · Finger Lakes · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 33.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Bianco Emilia Romagna white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sao Goncalo Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 25% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Stony Run Winery Gruner Veltliner white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Chardonnay Mendocino County white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Menage a Trois Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Casal Garcia Rose Vinho Verde rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pierre Peters Champagne Cuvee de Reserve Blanc de Blancs Brut Grand Cru Non Vintage sparkling · Champagne · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Autumn Frost Strawberry Rose Wine Spritzer rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Corbett Canyon Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Corbett Canyon Pinot Grigio white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Mapreco Rose Vinho Verde rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.79 | 0.0% | — | 17% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Orlana Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Peter Vella Crisp White white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | 22% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tropical Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Torresella Pinot Grigio Venezia white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Smooth Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Freixenet Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Christopher Michael Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chronic Cellars Sir Real Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| San Felice Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 27% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Biutiful Cava Brut Nature sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Biutiful Cava Brut Rose sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Aveta Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley white · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $34.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fre Pinot Grigio Alcohol Removed Nonalcoholic white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Fugaz Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Merlot Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
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