Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poesia Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $48.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Bergstrom Wines Pinot Noir Cumberland Reserve Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Spinona Vecchie Viti Barbaresco Ronchi 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $69.99 $74.99 Sale | — | — | 106% premium | 1% |
| Le Haut Medoc d'Issan Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marques de Caceres Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $33.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ridolfi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | 1% |
| Three French Hens Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2025 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 3000 ml | $26.99 | — | — | 4% premium | 1% |
| Trimbach Cuvee Frederic Emile Riesling Alsace 2011 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $20.43 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Altanza Gran Reserva Tempranillo Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cartuxa Red Blend Alentejo 2020 red · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | 80% premium | 1% |
| Clunia Tempranillo Castilla y Leon 2016 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru Vieilles Vignes 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Bel Air Pouilly Fume 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Greenock Creek Stone Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Long Shadows Chester Kidder Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Long Shadows Pedestal Merlot Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Long Shadows Pirouette Red Blend Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Los Vascos Cromas Gran Reserva Cabernet Franc Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marques de Caceres MC Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | 86% premium | 1% |
| Poggio Landi Brunello di Montalcino 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Schlumberger Brut Rose Burgenland 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 44% premium | 1% |
| The Prisoner Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beringer Q Red Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Ferriere Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Saint Pierre Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Armailhac Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Bourgogne Blanc 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Fossiles Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Reuilly Les Pierres Plates Reuilly Blanc 2024 white · 750 ml | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | — | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Frog's Leap Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| J McClelland Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Shafer Hillside Select Cabernet Sauvignon Stags Leap District 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $310 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sleight of Hand Cellars Enchantress Chardonnay Yakima Valley 2024 white · Washington · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa a Sesta Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $25.99 $29.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Wente Vineyards Nth Degree Merlot Livermore Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 133% premium | 1% |
| Bodega Benegas Single Vineyard Malbec Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 87% premium | 1% |
| Chateau d'Yquem Sauternes 2019 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $300 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Guerrin Vieilles Vignes Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaillons Chablis 1er Cru 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gerard and Pierre Morin Bellechaume Sancerre Rouge 2018 white · Loire · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Matthews Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.93 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | 1% |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Classico Gran Selezione 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Spring Valley Vineyard Frederick Red Wine Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | 55% below | 1% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Superiore 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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