Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.83 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Shiraz South Australia 2022 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $30.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Veuve Clicquot Yellow Label Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $64.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| William Fevre Champs Royaux Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $46.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Montelena Chardonnay Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $24.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Bernkasteler Lay Riesling Kabinett 2022 white · 750 ml | $26.99 $27.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Vaillons 1er Cru Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Eminent Domaine Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Ribbon Ridge 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Robin Vaucoupin Chablis 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $26.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patton Valley Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quattro Theory Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rombauer Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma Napa 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Chardonnay Carneros Napa Valley Reserve 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hawk and Horse Vineyard Block Three Cabernet Sauvignon Red Hills Lake County 2019 red · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saintayme Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Montrose La Dame de Montrose Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Saint Cosme Gigondas 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blandy's Malmsey Madeira 5 Year Old dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chehalem Winery Chehalem Mountain Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Donati Family Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Caymus Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 1000 ml | $64.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Faustino I Tempranillo Rioja Gran Reserva 2010 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fontanabianca Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2023 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 13% typically +37% if it rises |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $65.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Luigi Giordano Barbaresco Asili 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taub Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Mount Veeder 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $35.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Graacher Himmelreich Riesling GG Alte Reben 2021 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zenato Amarone della Valpolicella 2018 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Fernand et Laurent Pillot Les Prarons Dessus Santenay Rouge 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greenock Creek Stone Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2020 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Ragose Amarone della Valpolicella Classico 2010 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barone Ricasoli Chianti Classico Castello di Brolio 2010 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Christian Bourmault Hermance Brut Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.73 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes Vierville Cotes de Nuits Village Rouge 2021 red · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Secondine 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $37.43 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calculated Risk Barrel Selection Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2023 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Pinot Noir Mercurey 1er Cru 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.19 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The McNab by Bonterra Cabernet Sauvignon McNab Ranch Vineyard Mendocino County 2021 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Talbott Sleepy Hollow Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2017 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $27.03 $51.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| JL Chave Selections Offerus Saint Joseph 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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