Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Couly Dutheil Rene Couly Chinon Rose 2021
rosé · Loire · 750 ml
$8.53 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—22% below<1%
Franzia Moscato
white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.59 0.0%▲ 4.0%22% below4%
Jacob's Creek Shiraz Cabernet
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$2.73 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 12.5%22% below3%
Villa Wolf Gewurztraminer Pfalz 2023
white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml
$11.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%—22% below<1%
Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2021
white · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—22% below<1%
Tomasello Winery Broomstick Brew Red
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 0.0% 0.0%22% below5%
Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Coili Senesi 2021
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$2.93 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—22% below<1%
Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $8.99 Sale 0.0%—22% below7%
typically +11% if it rises
Bodegas Ondalan Madurado 2022
red · 750 ml
$5.99 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—22% below<1%
William Hill Estate Winery Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 $17.99 Sale▲ 1.7%▲ 5.9%22% below4%
Le Breuvage Viognier Pays d'Oc 2021
white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—22% below<1%
Villa San Juliette Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018
red · Paso Robles · 750 ml
$3.93 $12.99 Clearance 0.0%—22% below<1%
Frontera White Blend
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.99 0.0%—22% below7%
typically +4% if it rises
Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$11.99▼ 7.7%▼ 7.7%22% below8%
typically +5% if it rises
Stoller Family Estate Chardonnay Dundee Hills 2019
white · Oregon · 750 ml
$10.03 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—22% below<1%
19 Crimes Frankenstein Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%—22% below6%
typically +10% if it rises
Dancing Crow Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2019
white · 750 ml
$8.53 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—22% below<1%
Walnut Block Wines Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021
white · Marlborough · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—22% below<1%
Castelli del Grevepesa Clemente VII Chianti Classico 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$12.99 0.0%—21% below<1%
Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2022
white · 750 ml
$3.73 $6.99 Clearance 0.0%—21% below1%
Boedecker Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—21% below<1%
Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$7.99 $8.99 Sale 0.0%▲ 28.6%21% below19%
typically +11% if it rises
Tania and Vincent Careme Terre Brulee Le Rouge Swartland 2019
red · Western Cape · 750 ml
$7.43 $9.99 Clearance 0.0%—21% below<1%
Domaine Royal de Jarras Pink Flamingo Rose Sable de Camargue
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.83 $15.59 Clearance 0.0%▲ 20.0%21% below1%
Murviedro Arts de Luna Cava Brut Rose
sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$9.99 0.0%—21% below7%
typically +10% if it rises
Quivira Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2020
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—21% below<1%
Domaine de Bel Air Cuvee Riquette Pouilly Fume 2022
white · Loire · 750 ml
$5.93 $21.99 Clearance 0.0%—21% below<1%
Domaine Jean Touzot Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2018
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—21% below<1%
Turk Gruner Veltliner Kremser Weinberge Niederosterreich 2019
white · 750 ml
$4.73 $16.99 Clearance 0.0%—21% below<1%
Gelida Blanc de Blancs Cava Brut Nature Gran Reserva 2018
sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—21% below<1%
Bully Hill Vineyards Le Goat Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.89 0.0%▲ 14.8%20% below23%
typically +5% if it rises
Cardwell Hill Cellars Estate Bottled Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$19.99——20% below<1%
Barefoot Pink Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 0.0%▲ 12.5%20% below7%
typically +11% if it rises
Casas del Toqui Barrel Series Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2020
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$3.23 $10.99 Clearance 0.0%—20% below<1%
Primaterra Pinot Nero delle Venezie 2019
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—20% below<1%
Bodegas Ego El Goru Gold Red Blend Jumilla 2020
red · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—20% below<1%
Jacob's Creek Moscato
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$4.49 $8.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 12.5%20% below4%
Familia Schroeder Saurus Select Cabernet Sauvignon Patagonia 2019
red · 750 ml
$8.93 $14.99 Clearance 0.0%—20% below<1%
Imagery Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$19.99 0.0% 0.0%20% below10%
typically +5% if it rises
Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Colli Senesi 2020
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—20% below<1%
Canyon Road Pinot Noir
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$3.65 $7.30 Clearance 0.0%—20% below2%
Casas del Toqui Barrel Series Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2019
red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml
$10.99 0.0%—20% below<1%
Murrieta's Well Estate Vineyard Small Lot Malbec Livermore Valley 2018
red · 750 ml
$19.99 0.0%—19% below<1%
Joseph Pascal Bourgogne Rouge 2021
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$24.99 0.0%—19% below<1%
Rocca Amornero Rosso Puglia 2023
red · Puglia · 750 ml
$8.99——19% below1%
Bodegas Taron Tempranillo Rioja 2019
red · Rioja · 750 ml
$9.99 0.0%—19% below<1%
Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon
red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$6.29 $8.29 Sale 0.0%▲ 3.8%19% below4%
Natura Organic Malbec
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$10.99 $12.99 Sale 0.0%—19% below10%
typically +8% if it rises
Vigneti Romio Trebbiano Romagna
white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.99 $9.99 Sale 0.0%—19% below8%
typically +10% if it rises
Westmount Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$17.99▼ 10.0%—19% below<1%
601–650 of 6,416← PreviousNext →