Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Couly Dutheil Rene Couly Chinon Rose 2021 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 22% below | 4% |
| Jacob's Creek Shiraz Cabernet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.73 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 22% below | 3% |
| Villa Wolf Gewurztraminer Pfalz 2023 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Francois Lurton Les Fumees Blanches Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Tomasello Winery Broomstick Brew Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 22% below | 5% |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Coili Senesi 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bodegas Ondalan Madurado 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | 22% below | 4% |
| Le Breuvage Viognier Pays d'Oc 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Villa San Juliette Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2018 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Frontera White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | ▼ 7.7% | ▼ 7.7% | 22% below | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Stoller Family Estate Chardonnay Dundee Hills 2019 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Frankenstein Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Dancing Crow Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2019 white · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Walnut Block Wines Collectables Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 22% below | <1% |
| Castelli del Grevepesa Clemente VII Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Excelsior Chardonnay Robertson 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.73 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | 1% |
| Boedecker Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | 21% below | 19% typically +11% if it rises |
| Tania and Vincent Careme Terre Brulee Le Rouge Swartland 2019 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Domaine Royal de Jarras Pink Flamingo Rose Sable de Camargue rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.83 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | 21% below | 1% |
| Murviedro Arts de Luna Cava Brut Rose sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Quivira Vineyards Zinfandel Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Domaine de Bel Air Cuvee Riquette Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Touzot Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2018 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Turk Gruner Veltliner Kremser Weinberge Niederosterreich 2019 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Gelida Blanc de Blancs Cava Brut Nature Gran Reserva 2018 sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% below | <1% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Le Goat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.8% | 20% below | 23% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cardwell Hill Cellars Estate Bottled Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2023 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Casas del Toqui Barrel Series Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Primaterra Pinot Nero delle Venezie 2019 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Bodegas Ego El Goru Gold Red Blend Jumilla 2020 red · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Jacob's Creek Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 20% below | 4% |
| Familia Schroeder Saurus Select Cabernet Sauvignon Patagonia 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Imagery Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 20% below | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Villa Poggio Salvi Caspagnolo Chianti Colli Senesi 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Canyon Road Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.65 $7.30 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 20% below | 2% |
| Casas del Toqui Barrel Series Reserva Cabernet Sauvignon Cachapoal Valley 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 20% below | <1% |
| Murrieta's Well Estate Vineyard Small Lot Malbec Livermore Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Joseph Pascal Bourgogne Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Rocca Amornero Rosso Puglia 2023 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 19% below | 1% |
| Bodegas Taron Tempranillo Rioja 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Frontera Cabernet Sauvignon red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | 19% below | 4% |
| Natura Organic Malbec red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Vigneti Romio Trebbiano Romagna white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 19% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Westmount Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 | ▼ 10.0% | — | 19% below | <1% |
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