Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine De La Chezatte Bulles de Caillottes Extra Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Fess Parker American Traditional Reserve Chardonnay Santa Barbara white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.09 | 0.0% | — | 30% below | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Clos du Bois Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Georges Duboeuf Beaujolais Villages red · Beaujolais · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Moscato white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Pinot Grigio white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Liberty Creek Pinot Noir red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Mark West Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sweet Bitch Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | ▼ 3.7% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Sweet Bitch Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | ▼ 3.7% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chateau des Cosse Cremant de Loire sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Emilio Lustau Fino Jarana Solera Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sun Soaked Caramel Apple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sun Soaked Mango Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Sun Soaked Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.19 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Box Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | 17% below | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Black Box Merlot red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Black Box Pinot Noir red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +12% if it rises |
| Gran Campo Viejo Cava Brut Reserva sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Memo Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Pierrick Harang Le Petit Balthazar Vin Rouge Languedoc red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Gnarly Head 1924 Whiskey Barrel Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 $19.49 Sale | ▲ 2.6% | — | 39% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| San Felo Maremma Sangiovese red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Juniata Valley Winery Red Wing Blackberry red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| De Perriere Brut Rose France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.2% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Frescobaldi Remole Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 55% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Sweet Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Chateau La Grange Clinet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.99 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4% below | 7% typically +22% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Hand on Heart Alcohol Removed Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Bread and Butter Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Creamery Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Ilauri Salto Sangiovese Terre di Chieti red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Clover Hill Vineyards and Winery Sparkling Niagara Lehigh Valley sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | — | — | 43% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ferrari Carano Fume Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Jam Cellars Butter Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Joel Gott Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | 41% premium | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Z Alexander Brown Ole Smokey Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 $22.49 Sale | ▲ 2.3% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Gold Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Fonseca Bin 27 Reserve Port Gift Tin dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $20.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Savory and James Cream Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Arbor Mist Exotic Fruits White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Claret Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 7.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Santa Julia Organic Malbec Rose Mendoza rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $13.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
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