Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgecrest Estate Dry Riesling Ribbon Ridge 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Eighty Cellars Riesling Estate Reserve Finger Lakes 2020 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Chardonnay Searby Vineyard Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.23 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trefethen Chardonnay 2022 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willems Willems Riesling Feinherb Auf de Lauer 2022 white · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avennia Oliane Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2019 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bouchaine Estate Chardonnay Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Chardonnay Sonoma County 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Haart Riesling Estate 2022 white · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inglenook Vineyard Estate Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $15.03 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marcel Couturier Pouilly Loche 2018 white · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neyers Chardonnay Carneros 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutherford Hill AJT Sauvignon Blanc 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willems Willems Riesling Kabinett Altenberg 2022 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bruno by Karthauserhof Riesling Spatlese 2018 white · 750 ml | $8.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Chantegrive Cuvee Caroline Graves Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Adelsheim Staking Claim Chardonnay Chehalem Mountains 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Carlines En Lya Chardonnay Cotes du Jura 2018 white · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massalto Facade White Pinot Noir Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 71% premium | <1% |
| Schlumberger Gruner Veltliner Niederoesterreich 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 82% premium | <1% |
| Valo Chardonnay Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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