Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Perrier Jouet Belle Epoque Champagne
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$190 0.0%▲ 21.8%194% premium7%
typically +11% if it rises
Krug Brut Rose Champagne
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$480——201% premium4%
Piper Heidsieck Rare Brut Rose Champagne Millesime 2012
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml
$135 $450 Clearance 0.0%—287% premium<1%
601–603 of 603← Previous