Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E Guigal Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $105 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Lion Tamer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Foillard Fleurie 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kosta Browne Pinot Noir Santa Rita Hills 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Vascos Cromas Gran Reserva Syrah Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Opus One Meritage Oakville Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $430 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate Classique Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ram's Gate Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saintayme Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Supery Dollarhide Vineyard Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $125 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco Montersino 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco Ronchi 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cline Family Cellars Rock Carved Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Martin Clerc Condrieu 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Thevenot LeBrun Les Renardes Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Assalins Gigondas 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Chateau de Nalys Chateauneuf du Pape 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $65.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fidelitas 4040 Red Blend Red Mountain 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frescobaldi Castelgiocondo Brunello Di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Inglenook Caberenet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Croix Ducru Beaucaillou Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Francis Zinfandel Dry Creek Valley Reserve 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Four Graces Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Two Vintners Legit Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.83 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $55.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Acumen Mountainside Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Bitner Estate Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Casanova di Neri Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Berliquet Saint Emilion 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $71.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Couspaude Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Barton Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Leoville Poyferre Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Moussas Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Pointe Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau la Vieille Cure Fronsac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Puligny Montrachet 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $69.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Suremain Les Crets Pinot Noir Mercurey 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 72% premium | <1% |
| Gavalas Assyrtico Santorini 2021 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel en Aarde 2021 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartford Court Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Bookwalter Conflict Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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