Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Heidsieck Champagne Extra Dry sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.73 $56.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Redwood Highway Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Torre de Ona Rioja Crianza Finca San Martin 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Maria Private Bin Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Alexakis Assyrtiko Crete 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Cabernet Franc 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BR Cohn Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyard Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ca dei Frati Lugana 2021 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau D'Arcins Haut Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2017 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.43 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lajarre Bordeaux Superieur 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Saint Cyrgues Salamandre Costieres de Nimes Rose 2024 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Pinot Noir Les Grands Monts Sancerre Rouge 2019 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Cadeau Estate Red Label Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Beaujolais Villages red · Beaujolais · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Loveblock Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| MAN Family Wines Bosstok Pinotage Coastal Region 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $6.03 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicodemi Terrana Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2024 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pradorey Adaro Ribera del Duero 2022 red · Ribera del Duero · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Quail Oak Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Ridgecrest Estate Pinot Noir Ribbon Ridge 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sokol Blosser Rose of Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2020 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weingut Wilhelmsberg Silvaner Franken 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Bourbon Barrel Aged Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| te Pa Pinot Gris Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $20.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Brotte Baies Dorees Viognier Pays d'Oc 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Carol Shelton Zinfandel Mendocino County Wild Thing Old Vine 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castoro Cellars Estate Grown Zinfandel Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Capendu La Comelle Corbieres Rouge 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Galharda Vinho Branco Douro 2020 white · Douro · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gobanilla Monastrell Jumilla 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joseph Carr Revelist Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2016 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Seaswept White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Mollydooker Two Left Feet Red Blend South Australia 2020 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| One Plus One Equals Three Cava Brut sparkling · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Painted Fox Winery Renaissance Red York County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Smoking Loon Chardonnay Steelbird Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Smoking Loon Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Undurraga Cabernet Sauvignon Reserva Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +7% if it rises |
| Zombie Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Agitator Bourbon Barrel Aged Red Wine California 2019 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alki Bubbly White Ancient Lakes of Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Almaden White Zinfandel rosé · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.8% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Boomtown by Dusted Valley Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castle Rock Zinfandel Lodi 2022 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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