Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plungerhead Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.63 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rivarose Brut Rose France sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Sandeman Tawny Porto dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | ▲ 9.1% | ▲ 41.2% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sella & Mosca Cannonau Riserva 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Taylor Port Black dessert · Douro · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Vespa Raccontami Primitivo di Manduria 2020 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wilhelm Winery Wilhelm Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Zilzie Shiraz Victoria 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Austin Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barnard Griffin Rose of Sangiovese Columbia Valley 2024 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | — | — | 5% premium | <1% |
| Black Box Dolce Semi Sweet Red Blend red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 5% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Brotte Les Hauts de Barville Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cockburn's Special Reserve Ruby Port with 2 Glasses Gift Set dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Concha Y Toro the Wine Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Demarie Barolo Classico 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Red Slate Riesling Dry 2022 white · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Hermann J Wiemer Dry Riesling Seneca Lake Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kermit Lynch Vin de Pays de Vaucluse Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Cadeau Estate Chardonnay Chehalem Mountains 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Coteaux Tufiers Vouvray Demi Sec 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Macon Villages Chardonnay white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| MAN Family Wines Free Run Steen Chenin Blanc Coastal Region 2021 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 5% premium | <1% |
| MacMurray Estate Vineyards Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.8% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 40 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Natura Organic Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Our Daily Organic Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pam's Chardonnay Unoaked 2021 white · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Dreaming Tree Crush Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | 5% premium | 5% |
| Andre California Champagne Blush sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +11% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pineapple Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Mukhrani Saperavi Tbilisi 2017 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Carteresses Tavel 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fish Eye Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 5% premium | 5% |
| Herencia Respeto Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Keenan Chardonnay Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kir Yianni Naoussa Cuvee Village 2020 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lava Cap Cabernet Sauvignon Sierra Foothills 2020 red · 750 ml | $20.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Oblivion Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Naturally Sweet Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Summer Water Bubbly Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe Red Peloponnese 2023 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Aubuisieres Vouvray Cuvee de Silex 2023 red · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Rosabella Langhe Rosato 2023 rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Honig Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2024 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jasci Trebbiano d'Abruzzo 2022 white · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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