Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barton and Guestier Rose d'Anjou rosé · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 12.2% | ▲ 16.7% | 24% premium | 2% |
| Alta Vista Atemporal Red Blend Mendoza Albaneve 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.23 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Ruchette Doree Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | 1% |
| Liberty School Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Perusini Refosco Peduncolo Rosso Colli Orientali del Friuli 2018 red · Friuli · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solis Lumen Vin de Pays d'Oc Rose 2023 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Federalist Liberty Bell Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $18.99 Sale | ▼ 5.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 24% premium | 1% |
| Kaiken Estate Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Macska Portugieser Hungary 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Malvira Rive Gauche Metodo Charmat Rose Extra Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| El Primer Paso Tempranillo Toro 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Murphy Goode Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barnard Griffin Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Benziger Family Winery Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +6% if it rises |
| Casa Castillo Red Blend Jumilla 2021 red · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Blue Slate Riesling Kabinett 2022 white · 750 ml | $20.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chocolate Shop Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lagar de Fornelos Lagar de Cervera Albarino 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Matchbook Wine Company Petite Sirah Dunnigan Hills 2019 red · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Qupe Syrah Central Coast 2021 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia El Burro Natural Malbec Maipu 2023 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zuri Getariako Txakolina 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Sauvignon Blanc Reserve Durbanville 2024 white · 750 ml | $13.33 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | 25% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Quinta da Ribeirinha Vale de Lobos Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Shaw and Smith Sauvignon Blanc Adelaide Hills 2021 white · South Australia · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Buttonwood Grove Winery Rose of Cabernet Franc 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Campo Viejo Rioja Reserva red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.0% | 25% premium | 4% |
| Knuttel Family Chardonnay Kate's Pas de Deux Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Dark Red Blend Limited Release red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Castoro Cellars Balena White Blend Paso Robles 2023 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $17.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | 1% |
| Garnacha de Fuego 2022 red · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Septima Gran Reserva 10 Barricas Malbec Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vina Santa Rita Medalla Real Cabernet Sauvignon Gran Reserva Maipo Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Chamilly Montagny les Bassets 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Liberty School Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2023 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $14.99 $15.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas LAN D 12 Crianza Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Memo Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Salentein Reserve Malbec Uco Valley 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Falanghina Sannio 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Vega Chardonnay Central Valley 2022 white · 750 ml | $3.83 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Red Blend Whiskey Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.13 $10.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Francesco Boschis Dolcetto di Dogliani Vigna dei Prey 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 35.7% | 25% premium | 20% typically +5% if it rises |
| Riley's Row Rose of Syrah North Coast 2021 rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rutini Cabernet Malbec Blend Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Muriel Fincas de la Villa Reserva Rioja 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Auer BIO Gruner Veltliner Thermenregion 2021 white · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
5,901–5,950 of 6,416← PreviousNext →