Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mionetto Organic Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ovis Betsy's Vineyard Petite Sirah High Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pike Road Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Val delle Rose Morellino di Scansano 2021 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21% premium | 11% typically +9% if it rises |
| La Crema Chardonnay Sonoma Coast white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 13.6% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Nisia Verdejo Rueda Old Vines 2025 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Castello di Meleto Chianti Classico Riserva 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damilano Langhe Nebbiolo 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Saint AIX Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Old Kakheti Qvevri Saperavi Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Benigna's Creek Hessian Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Cantina Gabriele Sangiovese Lazio 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Massalarie Premiere Note Carignan Vin de France 2023 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 85 Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Gamay Coteaux Bourguignons Rose 2025 rosé · 750 ml | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Predator Loveliness Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 19.2% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Produttori di Manduria Lirica Primitivo di Manduria red · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Schmitt Sohne Riesling Crisp and Fruity white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.49 | ▲ 2.3% | ▲ 7.1% | 21% premium | 4% |
| Calafe Fiano di Avellino 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Foxhorn Vineyards Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paringa Sparkling Shiraz South Australia 2020 sparkling · South Australia · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Recanati Sauvignon Blanc Galilee 2023 white · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Substance Ch Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Gabriele Pinot Grigio Lazio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Dupeuble Beaujolais Rouge 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 21% premium | <1% |
| Le Due Arbie Chianti Superiore 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marchesi di Barolo Maraia Barbera del Monferrato red · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.73 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vigneti Romio Sangiovese Appassimento Rubicone 2024 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Paul Mas Clos des Mures Languedoc 2023 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Pepiere La Pepie Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $11.39 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | <1% |
| Fetzer Chardonnay Sundial white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Lost Poet Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Memo Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Moillard Grivot Petit Chablis white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mylonas Savatiano Attika 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pedroncelli Cabernet Sauvignon Three Vineyards Dry Creek Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Syrah Sparkling Rose Columbia Valley Non Vintage sparkling · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection Merlot Monterey County Aged in Rum Barrels red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +3% if it rises |
| Sella and Mosca Vermentino di Sardegna 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 22% premium | 1% |
| Terra Vega Malbec Central Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Weingut Wilhelmsberg Bacchus Franken 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wente Vineyards Morning Fog Chardonnay Livermore Valley white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cline Cellars Ancient Vines Zinfandel Contra Costa County red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Eroica Riesling Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| French Flair Le Classique Bordeaux Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Genio Espanol Roble Monastrell Jumilla 2021 red · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Great Western Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Santa Julia La Mantis Natural Petnat Maipu 2023 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 22% premium | <1% |
| 7 Deadly Red Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
5,751–5,800 of 6,416← PreviousNext →