Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montes Alpha Malbec Colchagua Valley red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Anima Raphael Rosato Sicily 2020 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $7.13 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Redwood Highway Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +11% if it rises |
| Routestock Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2022 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats South Africa Viognier 2022 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home White Zinfandel rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.49 $8.49 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| The Path Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Washington Hills Riesling 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes The Uprising Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barnard Griffin Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Cavit Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cellier des Chartreux Chevalier d'Anthelme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $51.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Damien Martin Bourgogne Blanc white · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Domaine Antonin Guyon Les Chenes Volnay 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $67.43 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Jean Michel Gerin La Vialliere Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.93 $110 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe White Peloponnese 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Erbeldinger Weissburgunder Rheinhessen 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EthicDrinks Biodiversite Cabernet Franc IGP Pays d'Oc 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fresco di Masi Verona Rosso Biologico red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Glatzer Zweigelt Rose Carnuntum 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kiona Chenin Blanc Columbia Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| MAN Family Wines Free Run Steen Chenin Blanc Coastal Region 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| Masciarelli Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 13.1% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Montes Cherub Rose Colchagua Valley 2024 rosé · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Twins Colchagua Valley Red Wine red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pietro Caciorgna Guardoilvento Etna Rosso 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Yasmin White 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| 1000 Stories Gold Rush Red Blend Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.47 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Beringer Bros Chardonnay Bourbon Barrel Aged white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.34 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Big Fire Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calafe Greco di Tufo 2019 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Canyon Road Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.44 $10.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casa Canevel Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Casa Silva Gran Terroir de los Andes Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Paloumey Cru Bourgeois Haut Medoc 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Culitos Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | 4% premium | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de Malte Santenay Rouge 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $13.93 $52.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay white · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +11% if it rises |
| Lenz Moser Gruner Veltliner Niederosterreich 2023 white · 1000 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Memo Mona Sangiovese Abruzzo 2021 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montechiara Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 12% typically +22% if it rises |
| Orin Swift Machete 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Ema Select Terroir Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley Reserva 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stemmari Nero d'Avola red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 22.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5 L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Almaden Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $31.99 $34.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
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