Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Testarossa Cuvee Los Gatos Chardonnay Monterey County 2021 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tetramythos Retsina Roditis 2021 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tetramythos Roditis Patras 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Thanisch Estate Label Riesling Mosel 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 43% below | <1% |
| The Arsonist Red Blend California 2018 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Beach by Whispering Angel Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +4% if it rises |
| The Butchers Daughter Cotes du Rhone Reserve 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $20.99 | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| The Crossings Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Crusher Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Crusher Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Crusher Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| The Dreaming Tree Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| The Dreaming Tree Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Dreaming Tree Crush Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | 5% premium | 5% |
| The Dreaming Tree Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| The Dreaming Tree Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Eyrie Vineyards Spark Sparkling Rose Dundee Hills Willamette Valley sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.79 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Eyrie Vineyards Trifolium Red Blend Willamette Valley Dundee Hills 2020 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi 2018 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Red Blend Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Zinfandel Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| The Federalist Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Federalist Hamilton Chardonnay Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $15.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Federalist Liberty Bell Cabernet Sauvignon Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $18.99 Sale | ▼ 5.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +4% if it rises |
| The Federalist Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 20% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| The Federalist Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▼ 5.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Federalist Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▼ 5.0% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Four Graces Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Hare and The Tortise Pinot Gris King Valley 2021 white · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Hare and The Tortise Pinot Noir Yarra Valley 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Infamous Goose Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| The Juice Asylum Il Terzo Grado Toscana Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Kinker Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Kinker Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Little Sheep of France Vin de France Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $10.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +9% if it rises |
| The Little Sheep of France Viognier Vin de France 2023 white · 750 ml | $6.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% below | <1% |
| The Little Sheep of France Viognier Vin de France 2025 white · 750 ml | $11.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Loop Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Loop Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Myth of Motu Nui Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Path Cabernet Sauvignon California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| The Path Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| The Path Merlot California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Path Moscato California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Path Pink Moscato California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | 2% |
| The Path Pinot Noir California red · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| The Path Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| The Prisoner Wine Company Unshackled Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▼ 14.8% | ▼ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| The Retreat Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Seeker Riesling Mosel white · Mosel · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
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