Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrazze dell' Etna Carusu Etna Rosso 2017 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Valoria Reserva 2016 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Couly Dutheil Baronnie Madeleine Chinon Rouge 2018 red · Loire · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Faustino I Grand Reserva Rioja 2011 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Goose Ridge G3 Merlot Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.99 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% below | <1% |
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