Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Cascina Dardi Barolo Bussia Riserva 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.43 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Dry Rose of Sangiovese Sonoma County 2021 rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Anthony Road Pinot Gris Seneca Lake 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atilia Trebbiano d'Abruzzo 2020 white · Abruzzo · 1000 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot On Tap Cabernet Sauvignon red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau D?Emeringes Julienas 2022 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lanessan Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.73 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Gran Reserva Preseving Watersheds Malbec Tinguiririca River Marchigue Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.63 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diemersdal Pinotage Cape Town 2023 red · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elena Fucci SCEG Aglianico del Vulture 2018 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Chardonnay 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kermit Lynch Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lini 910 Labrusca Rosato Emilia Romagna rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +6% if it rises |
| Locations CA Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.03 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pian delle Vigne Rosso di Montalcino 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Valdemar Rose Rioja 2024 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Valenzano Shamong Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Vinum Cellars Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2022 white · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| the beachhouse Pinot Grigio delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Benjamin et David Duclaux La Germine Cote Rotie 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Vina Olabarri Rioja Blanco 2021 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $4.33 $16.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cortonesi Poggiarelli Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cycles Gladiator Merlot California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emiliana Novas Organic Sauvignon Blanc Casablanca Valley Gran Reserva 2021 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hamilton Russell Vineyards Pinot Noir Hemel en Aarde 2021 red · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Kermit Lynch Vin de Pays de Vaucluse Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Illuminate Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lange Estate Winery Pinot Noir Reserve 2021 red · 750 ml | $11.13 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lyngrove Collection Shiraz Rose Stellenbosch 2025 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | 4% premium | <1% |
| Meiomi Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +5% if it rises |
| Paul Chollet Oeil de Perdrix Cremant de Bourgogne sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rapido Sangiovese Puglia 2020 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $7.43 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Yasmin Red Galilee 2022 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roscato Rose Dolce Italia rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Silverado Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc Miller Ranch Yountville 2020 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simi Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| The Path Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.6% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +10% if it rises |
| Treveri Cellars Columbia Valley Rose Sec rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Trimbach Pinot Noir Alsace Reserve 2020 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.13 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Lemonade Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bodegas David Moreno Rioja Crianza 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Organic Red Blend red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Browne Family Vineyards Bitner Estate Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Discovery Collection Rose Paso Robles 2021 rosé · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe White Peloponnese 2023 white · 750 ml | $4.43 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freemark Abbey Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| HALL Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hand on Heart Alcohol Removed Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ixsir Altitude Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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