Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susana Balbo Signature Malbec Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Victor Berard Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2024 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aveleda Solos de Granito Alvarinho Vinho Verde 2020 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bartenura Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chereau Carre Comte Leloup du Chateau de Chasseloir Cuvee des Ceps Centenaires Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2018 white · Loire · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Earthquake Zinfandel Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Brooks Winery Riesling Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cafe de Paris Blanc de Blanc Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.43 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Erbeldinger Riesling Rheinhessen 2020 white · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frey Organic Zinfandel Mendocino California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | <1% |
| J Christopher Sauvignon Blanc Willamette Valley 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nissley Grapeful Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Novellum Chardonnay Vin de France 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 18% premium | 1% |
| Bodegas CARO Aruma Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudveil Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Watermelon Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de Viranel Viognier Pays d'Herault 2020 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Douloufakis Femina Malvasia 2024 red · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Rocailles Savoie Rose 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Christo Red Blend North Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Christopher Michael Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Kim Crawford Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Painted Wolf The Den Pinotage Coastal Region 2021 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beckstone Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dark Horse Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine Perraud Macon Villages 2024 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | 19% premium | 1% |
| Conti Torraiolo Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Les Rocailles Jacquere Apremont Savoie 2024 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tolino Vineyards Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 19% premium | 1% |
| Truth Be Told Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Atlantis Verdelho Madeirense 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Cibonne Tentations Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gd Vajra Clare JC Langhe Nebbiolo 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hampton Water Languedoc Rose 2020 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montes Limited Cabernet Sauvignon Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Skinnygirl White Blend California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ava Grace Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.24 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Barnard Griffin Syrah Port Columbia Valley 2021 dessert · Washington · 500 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Diseno Malbec Mendoza Old Vines red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Eradus Sauvignon Blanc Awatere Valley 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Lafage Miraflors Rose Cotes Catalanes 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2021 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 19% premium | <1% |
| Terra D'Oro Barbera Amador County 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alamos Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Saint Roch Old Vines Rose Cotes du Roussillon 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Costes du Chateau Feret Lambert Bordeaux Superieur 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hazlitt 1852 Vineyards White Cat Finger Lakes white · Finger Lakes · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 11.8% | ▲ 35.7% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Chardonnay 2x750 mL Multipack white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Love Noir Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| San Roman Prima Toro 2018 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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