Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finca Nueva Tempranillo Rioja Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jam Cellars Butter Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Pierre Marie Chermette Collonges Chardonnay Beaujolais Blanc 2021 white · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Rocca Torri d'Oro Primitivo di Manduria 2023 red · Puglia · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Saint Roch Old Vines Rose Cotes du Roussillon 2022 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tio Pepe Fino Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Blue Fish Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Sweet Walter Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 22.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| Chateau Mont Perat Bordeaux Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cleto Chiarli Vecchia Modena Lambrusco di Sorbara Brut 2024 sparkling · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Miraval Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 16% premium | <1% |
| Willm Cuvee Lina Riesling Alsace 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catherine et Michel Langlois Coteaux du Giennois Blanc 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Esterhazy Estate Estoras Gruner Veltliner Burgenland 2021 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Golden West Pinot Noir 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hampton Water Languedoc Rose 2022 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Middle Sister Sweet and Sassy Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 16% premium | 1% |
| Mionetto Alcohol Removed Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pasaeli 6N Karasakiz Aegean Turkey Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $20.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Goddess Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | 1% |
| Intrinsic Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bartenura Moscato Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | 17% premium | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Hess Select Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.2% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| La Miraja Le Masche Barbera d'Asti Superiore 2018 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pra Otto Soave Classico 2024 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $18.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Zinfandel Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Underwood Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 17% premium | 4% |
| Alta Vista Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza Estate 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franzia Moscato white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 17% premium | 4% |
| Gruet Sparkling Demi Sec sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Classic Malbec Mendoza 2024 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Rioja Reserva 2019 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2023 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Forrester Petit Sauvignon Blanc Stellenbosch 2025 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kendall Jackson Avant Chardonnay Unoaked white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Ruffino Sparkling Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 5.9% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Dixie and Bass Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Red Mountain 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.43 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Silk and Spice Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| The Federalist Bourbon Barrel Aged Red Blend Mendocino red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $23.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| XXL Sparkling Moscato Spain sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bota Mini Cabernet Sauvignon red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.99 $5.99 Sale | ▼ 14.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Franzia Pink Moscato white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | 17% premium | 4% |
| Clay Shannon The Barkley Cabernet Sauvignon Lake County 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Pinot Grigio Delle Venezie white · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Domaine Vetriccie White Corse 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Cape Bleue Rose IGP Mediterranee 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $12.99 $13.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| La Spinetta Vermentino 2024 white · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lydian GSM Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
5,501–5,550 of 6,416← PreviousNext →