Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mastroberardino Radici Taurasi 2016 red · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Patrick Noel Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Patrick Noel Sancerre Rouge 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Guidalberto Bolgheri Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tenuta San Guido Sassicaia Bolgheri Sassicaia 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $290 $300 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Bucephalus Red Wine Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $150 | — | — | 194% premium | 1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casa Silva S38 Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Casa Silva S7 Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 79% premium | 1% |
| Cordant Winery Maniacal Cuvee Central Coast 2021 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 72% premium | 1% |
| Defaix Freres Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gilles Noblet La Collogne Pouilly Fuisse 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Montee de Tonnerre Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Zind Humbrecht Clos Windsbuhl Pinot Gris Alsace 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $89.99 | — | — | 56% premium | 1% |
| Domaine des Tilleuls Cote de Nuits Village 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | 1% |
| Irvine and Roberts Vineyards Pinot Noir Rogue Valley 2022 red · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mollydooker Scooter Merlot Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mollydooker The Boxer Shiraz Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sequoia Grove Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Smith Madrone Riesling Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2017 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Bethel Heights Estate Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas Caro Caro Mendoza 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 305% premium | 1% |
| Bodegas Muriel Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $26.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Bott Geyl Les Elements Gewurztraminer Alsace 2019 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gerard Fiou Terroir Silex Sancerre 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $19.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Rostaing Rene Rostaing Ampodium Cote Rotie 2017 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| E Guigal Brune et Blonde Cote Rotie 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $115 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Kabinett Bernkasteler Badstube 2023 white · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Dix de Los Vascos Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | 371% premium | 1% |
| Maison Louis Jadot Meursault 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mirafiore Barolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 62% below | 1% |
| Patton Valley Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pio Cesare Barolo Mosconi 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $175 | 0.0% | — | 136% premium | 1% |
| Prats and Symington Chryseia Douro 2021 red · Douro · 750 ml | $120 | 0.0% | — | 510% premium | 1% |
| Boroli Barolo Classico 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $47.99 $52.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Clos de Folatieres Puligny Montrachet 1er Cru 2017 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $94.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $31.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fess Parker The Big Easy Red Blend 2020 red · 750 ml | $34.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | 1% |
| Montes Purple Angel Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $120 | — | — | 107% premium | 1% |
| Silver Oak Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Brotte Les Hauts de Barville Chateauneuf du Pape Blanc 2020 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Doisy Vedrines Sauternes 2020 dessert · Bordeaux · 375 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Haut Brion Pessac Leognan 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | 0.0% | — | 156% premium | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Reserve Paso Robles 2021 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $35.99 | — | — | 68% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Adrien Besson Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| DuMOL Wester Reach Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Force Majeure Syrah Red Mountain Estate Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Montgras Intriga Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
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