Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Les Demoiselles de la Font du Loup Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Martin Woods Tualatin Estate Vineyard Gamay Tualatin Hills 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Outerbound Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift 8 Years in the Desert California 2021 red · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2018 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Heitz Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe Family Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley Washington 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $45.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Pedesclaux Pauillac 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $23.99 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DuMOL Wester Reach Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vasse Felix Cabernet Sauvignon Filius Margaret River 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calera Pinot Noir Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Palmaris Red Reserve Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lynch Moussas Pauillac 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Fanti Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hartford Court Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lange Pinot Noir Willamette Valley Reserve 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $11.93 $38.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Stone Valley Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| BR Cohn Cabernet Sauvignon Olive Hill Estate Vineyards Sonoma Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Carbonnieux Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hall Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Aperture Cellars Chenin Blanc Clarksburg 2021 white · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Prisoner Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Pegase Hommage Chardonnay Napa Valley 2019 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.03 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Paul Pernot Chardonnay Cote d'Or Bourgogne 2021 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Emmanuel Darnaud Les Trois Chenes Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.03 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Genillotte Chablis 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $8.73 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta delle Terre Nere Etna Rosato 2021 rosé · Sicily · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Tre Leoni Red Blend Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas LAN Gran Reserva Rioja 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards Primitivo Clone Zinfandel Howell Mountain Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Latour Martillac Pessac Leognan Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Dominique et Janine Crochet Sancerre Rouge 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Willamette Valley Pinot Noir 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $52.43 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cote de Bordeaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Gerard Tremblay Fourchaume Chablis 1er Cru Vieilles Vignes 2019 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Puklus Pinceszet Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2017 dessert · 500 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stag's Leap Wine Cellars Arcadia Vineyard Chardonnay Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace Reserve 2017 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montmains 1er Cru 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Urziger Wurzgarten Riesling Auslese 2021 white · 375 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gaston Chiquet Tradition Champagne 1er Cru Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $58.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.0% | Fairly priced | 40% typically +6% if it rises |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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