Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Citran Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau La Louviere Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $46.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 44% below | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $33.73 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 65% below | <1% |
| Chateau des Jacques Clos de Rochegres Moulin a Vent 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Pinot Noir Carneros 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.53 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GD Vajra Albe Barolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Cabernet Sauvignon Hilltop Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2022 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Cape Coast 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Limited Release Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cantemerle Haut Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 50% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lanessan Haut Medoc 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $24.73 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malescot Saint Exupery Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $72.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Picque Caillou Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Tertre Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $61.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Chardonnay Reserve Paso Robles 2020 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine La Bastide Blanche Bandol Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $30.99 $31.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Charbonnierre Tradition Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francine Bachelier Reserve du Sanglier Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Lion Tamer Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabelle Garrault Les Grands Monts Sancerre Blanc 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jean Foillard Fleurie 2020 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 88% premium | <1% |
| Los Vascos Cromas Gran Reserva Syrah Colchagua Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Tardieu Laurent Cuvee Speciale Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2018 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marcarini Barolo Brunate 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quailhurst Vineyard Estate Classique Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ram's Gate Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $45.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Roland Tissier et Fils Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saintayme Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco Montersino 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Albino Rocca Barbaresco Ronchi 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Blason d'Issan Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe Family Winery Elizabeth Chardonnay Willamette Valley Oregon 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bledsoe McDaniels Chenin Blanc Willamette Valley Oregon 2024 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2024 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $32.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chalk Hill Estate Bottled Chardonnay Chalk Hill Appellation Sonoma County 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cline Family Cellars Rock Carved Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | <1% |
| Disznoko Tokaji 5 Puttonyos 2012 dessert · 500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Durieu Lucile Avril Chateauneuf du Pape 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Martin Clerc Condrieu 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Thevenot LeBrun Les Renardes Bourgogne Hautes Cotes de Nuits 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Assalins Gigondas 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling GG Alte Reben 2022 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 24% premium | <1% |
| Dr Loosen Graacher Domprobst Riesling GG 2021 white · 750 ml | $51.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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