Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Vintage-dated premium and luxury wines, ranked by the model's chance of a list-price rise within a year. These are retail shelf prices at a state retailer, not auction or secondary-market prices, so treat them as a signal of retail pricing momentum rather than investment returns.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.93 $89.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Olivier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $11.93 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $100 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Craggy Range Sauvignon Blanc Te Muna Road Martinborough 2023 white · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Crossbarn by Paul Hobbs Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine FL Les 4 Villages Chenin Blanc Coteaux du Layon 2019 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 124% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de la Croix de Pierre Pernand Vergelesses Blanc 2020 white · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.93 $160 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 78% premium | <1% |
| Force and Grace by Joseph Carr Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| GoGi Goldie Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2018 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Granbazan Etiqueta Verde Albarino Rias Baixas 2018 white · Rias Baixas · 1500 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Groth Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Follette Lorenzo Vineyard Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2018 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Le Clos Beaune Greves 1er Cru Blanc 2021 white · 750 ml | $59.99 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paula Kornell Blanc de Noir Methode Champenoise Napa Valley 2018 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raeburn High Flier Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ram's Gate Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $12.93 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Savage Grace Red Willow Sauvignon Blanc Yakima Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% premium | <1% |
| Savage Grace Skin Contact Gewurztraminer Columbia Gorge 2022 white · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Stags Leap Napa Valley Viognier 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 45% below | <1% |
| Stuhlmuller Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tendril Cellars Childs Play Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% premium | <1% |
| Trefethen Estate Grown Chardonnay Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Whitehall Lane Sauvignon Blanc Rutherford 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Wine In Books Organic White Spain 2021 white · 3000 ml | $14.93 $29.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Argyros Atlantis White Santorini 2020 white · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Azienda Elios Modus Bibendi Macerato Non Filtrado Terre Siciliane Bianco Biodynamic 2019 white · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaux Freres Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2020 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $25.43 $84.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Catena Zapata Adrianna Vineyard White Bones Chardonnay Mendoza 2020 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $70.03 $140 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Chalone Vineyard Estate Grown Chardonnay Chalone 2022 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
| Chateau Pape Clement Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $120 $200 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau St Jean Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos Floridene Graves Blanc 2021 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Louise Vineyard Pinot Gris Eola-Amity Hills 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cristom Louise Vineyard Viognier Eola-Amity Hills 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Chevalier Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $43.93 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 73% premium | <1% |
| Donum Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.73 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 64% premium | <1% |
| Etude Carneros Pinot Gris 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 60% premium | <1% |
| Etude Estate Carneros Chardonnay 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.19 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Guarachi Chardonnay Sun Chase Vineyard Estate Grown Petaluma Gap 2020 white · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Winery Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2019 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.23 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hall Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hanna Estate Grown Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Iron Horse Vineyards Audrey Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 63% premium | <1% |
| Lothian of Elgin Chardonnay 2021 white · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mont Rubi L'Ancestral Blanc Pet Nat Penedes 2021 white · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pali Wine Co Highlands Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2017 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Phelps Creek Vineyards Estate Chardonnay Columbia Gorge 2021 white · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raptor Ridge Chardonnay Gran Moraine Vineyard Willamette Valley 2018 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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