Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GD Vajra Barolo Coste di Rose 2017 rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hecht and Bannier Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Organic 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Fritz Muller Rose Secco rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Maison Saint AIX Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Mateus Dry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 45.5% | 56% premium | 24% typically +4% if it rises |
| Tura Mountain Vista Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia Chimango Natural Rose Mendoza 2024 rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 59% premium | <1% |
| Zoinos Aurelia Extra Dry Epirus Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 74% premium | <1% |
| Luc Belaire Luxe Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +5% if it rises |
| G H Mumm Grand Cordon Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 33.3% | 76% premium | 1% |
| MontRubi L'Ancestral Rose Penedes 2021 rosé · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $8.23 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 80% premium | <1% |
| Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Renardat Fache Cerdon Bugey Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | 81% premium | <1% |
| Play Rose Hungary 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 83% premium | <1% |
| Chandon Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 10.6% | ▲ 15.0% | 89% premium | 2% |
| Val delle Rose Aurelio Maremma Rosso rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 91% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Wild Rose Pet Nat Riesling Kamptal 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $10.93 $33.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 100% premium | <1% |
| Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 113% premium | <1% |
| Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 113% premium | <1% |
| Don Julio Rosado rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $47.99 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 380% premium | 1% |
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