Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
GD Vajra Barolo Coste di Rose 2017
rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml
$74.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Hecht and Bannier Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Organic 2023
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$5.93 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—51% premium<1%
Fritz Muller Rose Secco
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$5.73 $19.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Maison Saint AIX Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2025
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$23.99——53% premium<1%
Mateus Dry Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$15.99 0.0%▲ 45.5%56% premium24%
typically +4% if it rises
Tura Mountain Vista Rose 2023
rosé · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Santa Julia Chimango Natural Rose Mendoza 2024
rosé · Mendoza · 750 ml
$15.99 $18.99 Sale 0.0%—59% premium<1%
Zoinos Aurelia Extra Dry Epirus Rose 2021
rosé · 750 ml
$6.73 $22.99 Clearance 0.0%—74% premium<1%
Luc Belaire Luxe Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$31.99 $36.99 Sale 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced13%
typically +5% if it rises
G H Mumm Grand Cordon Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.99 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%▲ 33.3%76% premium1%
MontRubi L'Ancestral Rose Penedes 2021
rosé · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml
$8.23 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—80% premium<1%
Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2021
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Renardat Fache Cerdon Bugey Rose 2023
rosé · 750 ml
$8.93 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—81% premium<1%
Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 1500 ml
$59.99 0.0%—81% premium<1%
Caves D'Esclans Whispering Angel Cotes de Provence Rose 2021
rosé · Provence · 1500 ml
$59.99 0.0%—81% premium<1%
Play Rose Hungary 2022
rosé · 750 ml
$8.93 $26.99 Clearance 0.0%—83% premium<1%
Chandon Rose
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$22.99▲ 10.6%▲ 15.0%89% premium2%
Val delle Rose Aurelio Maremma Rosso
rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.99 0.0%—91% premium8%
typically +5% if it rises
Wild Rose Pet Nat Riesling Kamptal 2022
rosé · 750 ml
$10.93 $33.99 Clearance 0.0%—100% premium<1%
Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$20.73 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—113% premium<1%
Domaines Ott Chateau de Selle Cotes de Provence Rose 2023
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$41.99 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—113% premium<1%
Don Julio Rosado
rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$47.99 $79.99 Clearance 0.0%—380% premium1%
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