Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duplin Carolina Scuppernong Blush rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.99 $8.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Graham Beck Sparkling Western Cape Brut Rose sparkling · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Johnson Estate Lake Effect Red red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| L'Ecole No 41 Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mad Fish Cabernet Sauvignon Merlot Western Australia 2019 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Massimo Rivetti Langhe Nebbiolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Peter Vella Chardonnay white · 5000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Presto Rose Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.45 $15.71 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 2% premium | 1% |
| Promesses de France Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Rickshaw Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Aime Roquesante Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello del Poggio Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Catena Classic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lafite Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Columbia Winery Merlot Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +7% if it rises |
| Cupcake Vineyards Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Rene Leclerc Gevrey Chambertin Lavaux Saint Jacques 1er Cru 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $30.43 $104 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elijah by Manischewitz Chardonnay Curico Valley 2023 white · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hanna Estate Grown Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2020 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Christopher Pinot Noir Dundee Hills Bella Vida Vineyard 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kevin White Winery Memoire White Blend Yakima Valley 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Rocailles Jacquere Apremont Savoie 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mazza Vineyards Bare Bones White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Planeta La Segreta Sicilia Grillo 2022 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Raeburn Chardonnay Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 0.4% | ▲ 4.5% | Fairly priced | 20% typically +4% if it rises |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $43.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stella Rosa L'Originale Strawberry Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.49 | ▲ 3.1% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Trevisiol Prosecco Valdobbiadene Superiore Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Tribute Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +7% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Shiraz red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 3% premium | 3% |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +11% if it rises |
| Bargetto Pinot Grigio Monterey County 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bolla Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Chateau Margaux Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $700 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cuma Cabernet Sauvignon Argentina red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.49 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cupcake Light Hearted Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 40.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| DAOU Vineyards and Winery Rose Paso Robles 2022 rosé · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Campanette Sauvignon Blanc Touraine 2020 white · Loire · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dr Loosen Erdener Treppchen Riesling Spatlese 2022 white · 750 ml | $31.99 $33.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Echo de Lynch Bages Pauillac 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $52.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fantinel Tenuta Sant Helena Pinot Grigio 2023 white · 750 ml | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| House Wine Dark Cabernet Sauvignon Box red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 1.6% | ▲ 5.6% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Josh Cellars Red Wine Legacy red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Kenwood Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Jack London Vineyard Sonoma Mountain red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $33.29 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| La Rioja Alta Vina Alberdi Rioja Reserva 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nine Hats Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Cristina Rosso Toscana red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
5,451–5,500 of 9,968← PreviousNext →