Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hiruzta Txakoli Getariako Txakolina 2020 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tabali Pedregoso Carmenere Cachapoal Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Canoe Ridge The Explorer Cabernet Sauvignon Horse Heaven Hills 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau du Petit Thouars L'Epee Chinon Rouge 2018 red · Loire · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| English Blood Red Blend Columbia Valley signed by All Time Low 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.43 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Cote des Roses Rose Languedoc 2021 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Meiomi Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ryder Estate Pinot Noir Rose Central Coast 2020 rosé · Central Coast · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats Derby Cinsault Piekenierskloof 2019 red · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Underwood Pinot Gris white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Graville Lacoste Graves Blanc 2023 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ste Michelle Chardonnay Indian Wells Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 5.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Cote des Roses Rose Languedoc 2022 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $4.03 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Robert Mondavi Private Selection 100 Percent Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars A2 Sauvignon Blanc Horse Heaven Hills 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Greenwing Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Josh Cellars Rose 2x750 mL Mulitipack rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Le Chant du Soleil Rose Tavel 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Line 39 Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Luchador Tempranillo Calatayud 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Vega Cabernet Sauvignon Central Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Vega Chardonnay Central Valley 2021 white · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| All Time Low Presents English Blood Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.23 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Coppola Diamond Collection Claret Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 7.5% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Las Campanas Garnacha Navarra 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Massimo Rivetti Avene Langhe Nebbiolo 2024 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mirassou Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | ▲ 7.1% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Mylonas Assyrtiko Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | 16% premium | <1% |
| Domaine Schoffit Pinot Blanc Vieilles Vignes Sec 2023 white · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jam Cellars Butter Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Cape Bleue Rose IGP Mediterranee 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tulip Winery Cabernet Sauvignon 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.53 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Z Alexander Brown Ole Smokey Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.49 $22.49 Sale | ▲ 2.3% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Castoro Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2022 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | 16% premium | 2% |
| Chateau Graville Lacoste Graves Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cloudline Pinot Noir Willamette Valley red · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Foxhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 27.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gerard Bertrand Cote des Roses Rose Languedoc 2023 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Solena Estate Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $7.43 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stephanie et Arnaud Celliers des Marnes Dezat Pouilly Fume 2025 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wild Hills Pinot Gris Willamette Valley 2022 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $10.23 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Chardonnay white · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 50% typically +3% if it rises |
| Argiolas Costamolino Vermentino di Sardegna 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | 1% |
| Liberty School Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2019 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nissley Fantasy Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Villa M Berry Semi Sweet Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Yellow Tail Chardonnay 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | 16% premium | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Adams County Winery Rebel Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Cleto Chiarli Vecchia Modena Lambrusco di Sorbara Brut 2023 sparkling · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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