Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pendulum Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Cabernet Sauvignon Galilee 2022 red · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Chardonnay Upper Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Reggio Cantina Donpa Aglianico del Vulture 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rickshaw Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Rutherford Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $46.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 40.9% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +8% if it rises |
| San Felice Il Grigio Chianti Gran Selezione 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Six Hats Shiraz 2023 red · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Toi Toi Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Jolanda Moscato and Coconut white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alki Merlot Wahluke Slope 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Malbec red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Boedecker Cellars Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bonterra Vineyards Pinot Gris California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cantina Valle Tritana Montepulciano D'Abruzzo 2021 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $5.73 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Paradis Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de l'Aubrade Entre Deux Mers 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Giovanna Camurria Orange Sicilia 2024 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $22.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Harvest Ridge Winery Red No 47 red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.03 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kiona Riesling Columbia Valley 2023 white · Washington · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mulderbosch Sauvignon Blanc Stellenbosch 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pfeffingen Scheurebe Pfalz Dry 2020 red · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $7.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Post and Beam Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2024 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sorrenti Cherry Valley Vineyards Watermelon Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Southern Belle Red Blend Jumilla 2022 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▼ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +6% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Ten Sisters Pinot Noir Marlborough 2020 red · Marlborough · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Noble Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley Gran Reserva 2019 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Angeline Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Apple Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot On Tap Moscato white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 13% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chloe Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine William Fevre Vaulorent Chablis 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $99.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine de l'Olivette Bandol Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $21.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| E Guigal Cotes du Rhone Rose rosé · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Les Fontanelles Sauvignon Blanc Pays d'Oc 2021 white · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Line 39 Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Orin Swift Abstract Red 2020 red · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tinto Rey Estate Bottled Tempranillo Dunnigan Hills 2019 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Turk Ried Obere Kremser Sandgrube Gruner Veltliner Kremstal 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vincent Girardin Les Charmes Dessus Meursault 1er Cru Premier Cru 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Pear Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Barefoot On Tap Pinot Noir red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Brick and Vine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.49 $8.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Castaing Cotes de Bourg Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Rouget Pomerol 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $74.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Citluk Wines of Illyria Blatina Herzegovina 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Christophe Mittnacht Organic Terres d'etoiles Cuvee Extra Brut Cremant d'Alsace 2022 sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
5,401–5,450 of 9,968← PreviousNext →