Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feisty Zen Orange Blossom Grape and Honey Wine 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fritz Allendorf Assmannshauser Spatburgunder Rheingau Trocken 2019 red · Rheingau · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Giacomo Mori Chianti 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maris Rouge Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mom Juice Cabernet Sauvignon Mendocino 2021 red · 750 ml | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vignerons de Mancey Cremant de Bourgogne Brut Reserve sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | ▲ 15.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Ampeleia Unlitro Toscana Rosso 2023 red · Tuscany · 1000 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ca dei Frati I Frati Lugana 2023 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Talmont Sauvignon Blanc Bordeaux 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Claude Lafond Clos Fussay Sauvignon Blanc Reuilly 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| Dinastia Vivanco Rioja Crianza 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kenwood Cabernet Sauvignon Six Ridges Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.94 $23.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Gamay Coteaux Bourguignons Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Menage a Trois Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Montetoro Tinta De Toro Toro Roble 2020 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Primaterra Pinot Nero Trevenezie 2022 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | ▲ 18.2% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Quinta de Gomariz Vinho Verde Rose Espadiero 2023 rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $8.33 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| Barefoot Pink Moscato 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cantele Rosato Puglia rosé · Puglia · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jean Luc Colombo Cape Bleue Rose IGP Mediterranee 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $7.03 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Savory and James Deluxe Amontillado Medium Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| St Francis Old Vines Zinfandel Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.89 | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| BonAnno Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau D'Arcins Haut Medoc Cru Bourgeois 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frog's Leap La Grenouille Rose Mendocino 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Monograph Assyrtiko Peloponnese Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Garciarevalo Casamaro Verdejo Rueda 2022 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Henry Lagarde Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Notorious Pink Grenache red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tolino Vineyards Lilly White Blend white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Andre Brunel Cuvee Est Ouest Cotes Du Rhone Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Domaine Kuentz Bas Alsace Blanc 2022 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Montes Classic Cabernet Sauvignon Colchagua Valley 2023 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Pinot Grigio Colombard white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Cairdeas Diffraction Red Blend Washington 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles and Charles BOLT Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Signature Sweets Peach Moscato Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.24 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Juggernaut Hillside Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Mastroberardino Novaserra Greco di Tufo 2022 red · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Vista Estate Torrontes Mendoza 2022 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Domaine de la Fouquette Rose d Aurore Cotes de Provence Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dr L Sparkling Riesling NonVintage sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +6% if it rises |
| Fetzer Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +12% if it rises |
| Maison Joseph Drouhin Vaudon Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maynard's Tawny Port 10 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Murphy Goode Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Planeta La Segreta il Bianco 2023 white · 750 ml | $9.13 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Recanati Merlot Upper Galilee 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Relax Riesling white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.49 | ▲ 2.1% | ▲ 22.5% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Williams and Humbert Dry Sack Sherry Medium Dry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 7.3% | ▲ 11.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
5,401–5,450 of 6,416← PreviousNext →