Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Chemarin P'tit Grobis Beaujolais Villages 2021 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bota Box Nighthawk Black Cabernet Sauvignon California Bourbon Barrel Aged red · California Central Valley · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | ▲ 4.2% | ▲ 25.0% | 14% premium | 19% typically +4% if it rises |
| Catena Appellation La Consulta Malbec Mendoza 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chaya Moscato d'Asti 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mayu Pedro Ximenez Valle de Elqui 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| McBride Sisters Collection Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2020 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Portlandia Big Believer Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.63 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saintsbury Chardonnay Sangiacomo Vineyards Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yalumba Y Series Shiraz South Eastern Australia 2019 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Boundary Breaks Dry Riesling No 239 Finger Lakes 2022 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Di Majo Norante Sangiovese Terre degli Osci 2020 red · 750 ml | $7.79 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Rimbert Vin Orange Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| La Nerthe Les Cassagnes Cotes du Rhone Villages Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.03 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | <1% |
| Mount Fishtail Sur Lie Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nube Tempranillo Blanco Rioja 2023 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oyster Bay Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | ▲ 5.6% | ▲ 11.8% | 14% premium | 3% |
| The Crusher Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Au Contraire Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Vetriccie White Corse 2021 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francis Ford Coppola Diamond Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.49 | ▲ 2.4% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| High Heaven Vintners Cabernet Sauvignon Majestic Pines Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Wapisa Cabernet Sauvignon Patagonia 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Red Blend red · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.49 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Carnivor Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau de Manissy Cuvee des Lys Tavel Rose 2024 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $18.99 $19.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| City Limits Pink Street Rose 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Red Velvet red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Don Miguel Gascon Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Educated Guess Chardonnay Sonoma Coast 2022 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hampton Water Languedoc Rose 2023 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Lacrimarosa Rosato 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rescue Rose Horse Heaven Hills 2023 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $16.99 $18.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruffino Lumina Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Santa Julia Mountain Red Blend Uco Valley Reserva 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| TOP SOURCE Winery Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Chateau Beauchene Viognier Cotes du Rhone Blanc 2022 white · Rhone · 750 ml | $14.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| Clos Cibonne Tentations Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Durigutti Bonarda Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Januik Columbia Valley Merlot 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Marca Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Louis Jadot Gamay Coteaux Bourguignons Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Michael Frohlich Escherndorfer Silvaner QbA Franken Trocken 2021 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mount Fishtail Sauvignon Blanc Sur lie Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $11.13 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mount Fishtail Zero Marlborough Sauvignon Blanc Alcohol Removed Wine white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Pio Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.43 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Alessandro e Gian Natale Fantino Rosso dei Dardi Piemonte Rosso 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Balletto Vineyards Teresa's Unoaked Chardonnay Russian River Valley 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 15% premium | <1% |
| Bell Wine Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Lake County 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bosman Family Vineyards Generation 8 Cabernet Sauvignon 2024 red · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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