Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Jackson Vintner's Reserve Merlot Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 $21.99 Sale | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | 13% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Les Legendes Bordeaux Blanc white · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▲ 7.3% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mount Fishtail Sauvignon Blanc Sur lie Marlborough 2021 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Julia Chardonnay Uco Valley Reserva 2021 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vina Valoria Garnacha Rosado Rioja 2021 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Double Play Rose Pennsylvania rosé · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Elmo Pio Chianti red · Tuscany · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Johnson Estate Freelings Creek Sweet Riesling Lake Erie Reserve white · Lake Erie · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Miraval Cotes de Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 13% premium | <1% |
| Sacha Lichine The Pale Vin de Pays du Var Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 13% premium | 1% |
| Aurego Albarino Rias Baixas 2022 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 8.3% | ▲ 30.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Kuentz Bas Alsace Blanc 2023 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Chai Duchet Vire Clesse 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Los Vascos Cromas Gran Reserva Carmenere Colchagua Valley 2021 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Chardonnay Dijon Clone Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Black Pearl Cabernet Sauvignon Coastal Region 2020 red · Western Cape · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bread and Butter Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 21.4% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Calvet Haut Poitou Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.35 $15.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Di Majo Norante Sangiovese Terre degli Osci 2021 red · 750 ml | $12.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girard Chardonnay Carneros 2021 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Maison Nicolas Idiart Sancerre Blanc 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Montoya Chardonnay Monterey 2020 white · Monterey · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Neleman Wolk Monastrell Especial Valencia 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rabble Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Red Sparkling Wine sparkling · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Bodega Piedra Negra Gran Lurton Corte Argentino Los Chacayes 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | ▲ 12.5% | ▲ 20.0% | 14% premium | 1% |
| Ruffino Chianti red · Tuscany · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.34 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.9% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Mukhrani Goruli Mtsvane Kartli 2019 red · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Plessis Glain Tristan Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.13 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lindeman's Bin 45 Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mezzacorona Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 12.5% | 14% premium | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
| Olema Cabernet Sauvignon Sonoma County 2023 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 7 Deadly Zins Zinfandel Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | 14% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Altered Dimension Sauvignon Blanc Columbia Valley white · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.63 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Frog's Leap La Grenouille Rose Mendocino 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girard Old Vine Zinfandel Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Hauts de Seignol Rose Bandol 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $18.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lionel Osmin and Cie Villa Cote D'Argent Sauvignon Blanc Vin de France 2023 white · 750 ml | $10.99 | ▲ 10.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mastroberardino Greco di Tufo 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Principe de Viana Crianza Navarra 2021 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Intercept Chardonnay Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.93 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 14% premium | 1% |
| Tania and Vincent Careme Spring Vouvray 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| 19 Crimes Cali Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| 19 Crimes Cali Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 23% typically +4% if it rises |
| Anne Amie Vineyards Two Estates Pinot Gris 2021 white · 750 ml | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Asti Spumante sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| JL Chave Selection Mon Coeur Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.53 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
5,301–5,350 of 6,416← PreviousNext →