Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castle Rock Rose of Pinot Noir Monterey County 2021 rosé · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.03 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Couly Dutheil Chenin Blanc Chinon 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Philippe Raimbault Les Godons Sancerre Blanc 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elena Walch Pinot Grigio Selezione Alto Adige 2021 white · Trentino-Alto Adige · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Farmers Market Bianco white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| H3 Rose Horse Heaven Hills rosé · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Kaiken Indomito Malbec Mendoza 2019 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ken Wright Cellars Guadalupe Vineyard Pinot Noir 2016 red · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Natura Organic Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 3.5% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Nine Hats Chardonnay Columbia Valley 2018 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quadrum Red Blend Spain red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.73 $19.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Seven Hills Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Calling Pinot Noir Russian River Valley red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.49 $37.99 Clearance | ▲ 4.4% | ▲ 8.6% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Thistledown Gorgeous Shiraz South Australia 2022 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $14.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Treana Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles 2020 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Trimbach Riesling Alsace white · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 50.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Valo Atemporal Red Blend Conner Lee Vineyard Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wine In Books Organic White Spain 2021 white · 3000 ml | $14.93 $29.89 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antler Ridge Winery Red Vixen red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | ▲ 8.2% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Antucura Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2018 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $9.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Barefoot Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 19.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Black Box Merlot red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Bully Hill Vineyards Banty Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 28.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Sauvignon Blanc Ancient Lakes 2019 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fage Bordeaux Graves De Vayres Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Citra Montepulciano D'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.74 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Colin Barollet Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Damien Martin Bourgogne Pinot Noir 2023 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Bousquet Malbec Tupungato Reserve 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Durigutti Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $8.99 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elmo Pio Asti Spumante sparkling · Piedmont · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Freixenet Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $17.99 Sale | ▼ 3.7% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +5% if it rises |
| Frey Organic Sauvignon Blanc Mendocino California 2023 white · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Frisk Prickly Riesling white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| GD Vajra Barolo Ravera 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ilauri Tavo Pinot Grigio delle Venezie 2021 white · Veneto · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| LAGO Cerqueira Rose Vinho Verde 2021 rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Provenance Vineyards Sauvignon Blanc North Coast 2023 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simple Life Chardonnay 2020 white · 750 ml | $3.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Succession Wines Conner Lee Chardonnay Wahluke Slope 2021 white · Washington · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Yellow Tail Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.29 $8.29 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Angelo Negro Serra Lupini Roero Arneis 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Anonimo Red Blend Paso Robles 2023 red · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Banfi Centine Toscana Rosato 2024 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Box Buttery Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | — | 1% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Board Track Racer The Chief Cabernet Sauvignon 2019 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cavit Collection Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Chasing Rain Red Mountain Merlot 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malbec Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Franciscan Sauvignon Blanc Monterey County white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
5,201–5,250 of 9,968← PreviousNext →