Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collection Alain Corcia Pinot Noir Bourgogne Reserve Grande Classe Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lemonade Stand at Main and Vine Strawberry Lemonade Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Los Vascos Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 20.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sandy Cove Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Crusher Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alexandria Nicole Cellars Gravity Merlot Horse Heaven Hills 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $12.03 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| B Side Cabernet Sauvignon North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 9.1% | 11% premium | 2% |
| Charles Smith The Velvet Devil Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Dalton Canaan White Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hook or Crook Cellars Winemaker's Select Field Blend Lodi 2021 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Butcher's Daughter Rose Pay's D'Oc 2022 rosé · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dixie and Bass Columbia Valley Cabernet Sauvignon 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Chardonnay North Coast Reserve white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.53 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 11% premium | <1% |
| Lapostolle Cuvee Alexandre Carmenere Apalta Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bargemone Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Criss Cross Petite Sirah Clarksburg 2017 red · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DaVinci Chianti red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Montgras Antu Single Vineyard Carmenere Cachapoal Valley Block N 16 El Sauce Peumo 2022 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mulderbosch Cabernet Sauvignon Rose Coastal Region 2023 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 11% premium | <1% |
| Catena Classic Cabernet Sauvignon Mendoza 2023 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | 12% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Paillet Quancard Cadillac Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2019 red · Bordeaux · 1500 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Rosso di Montalcino 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lagar de Fornelos Pazo de Seoane Rias Baixas Blanco 2023 white · Rias Baixas · 750 ml | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muga Rosado Rioja 2024 rosé · Rioja · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sterling Vineyards Vintner's Collection Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 32.5% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Altanza Rioja Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Clos du Bois Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▼ 6.3% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Jacob's Creek Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.49 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 6.3% | 12% premium | 1% |
| Lemelson Vineyards Dry Riesling Dundee Hills 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Ulisse Amaranta di Ulisse Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2020 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% premium | <1% |
| Voga Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | ▲ 2.7% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Babylon's Peak Chenin Blanc Swartland 2023 white · Western Cape · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Peique Ramon Valle 2021 red · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bodegas del Rosario 3000 Anos Bullas 2017 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cap Royal Cuvee Tradition Bordeaux Superieur Rouge red · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Catena Appellation White Clay White Blend Mendoza 2023 white · Mendoza · 750 ml | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Baluettes Les Coteaux Muscadet Sevre et Maine Sur Lie 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Florent Cosme La Motte Vouvray Sec 2019 red · Loire · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Isabel Estate Sauvignon Blanc Wairau Marlborough Single Vineyard 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Memo Mona Sangiovese Terre di Chieti red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.39 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 12% premium | 1% |
| Monte Bernardi Fiasco Vino Rosso red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +7% if it rises |
| Ridgecrest Estate Dry Riesling Willamette Valley 2023 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bel Ormeau Les Herits Blaye Cotes de Bordeaux Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $13.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Fourcas Dupre Listrac Medoc 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.53 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Domaine Alary La Gerbaude Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Girasole Vineyards Pinot Noir Mendocino County 2021 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Rose 2x750 mL Multipack rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Boundary Breaks Dry Riesling No 239 Finger Lakes 2023 white · Finger Lakes · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dixie and Bass Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.53 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
5,151–5,200 of 6,416← PreviousNext →