Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pull Chardonnay Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Roaming Dog Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| St Francis Sauvignon Blanc Sonoma County white · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.33 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Stoller Family Estate Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vinus de Jean Claude Mas Clairette du Languedoc 2021 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Main and Vine Cabernet Sauvignon red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.49 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.5% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Bodegas Caro Amancaya Red Blend Mendoza 2020 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $17.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bomon Shampe Angel Sparkling White Wine Semi Sweet sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau Combel La Serre Le Pur Fruit du Causse Cahors 2022 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Ksara Merwah Bekaa Valley Lebanon White 2023 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dalton Canaan Red Galilee 2021 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Les 5 Chemins Chardonnay Val de Loire 2021 white · Loire · 750 ml | $3.23 $13.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Skouras Zoe Red Peloponnese 2020 red · 750 ml | $3.73 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elk Cove Willamette Valley Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frederic Esmonin Les Genevrieres Bourgogne Rouge 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Game Box Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Gnarly Head Grateful Dead Limited Edition Old Vine Zinfandel 2x750 mL Multipack red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.33 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Greenock Creek Jaensch Block Shiraz Barossa Valley 2019 red · Barossa · 750 ml | $14.73 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Josh Cellars Chardonnay white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 6.3% | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Kakhuri Gvinis Marani Dry Saperavi Argo Georgia 2020 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavis Sauvignon Blanc Trevenezie 2021 white · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lydian Alto White Blend Columbia Valley 2020 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mollydooker Scooter Merlot Australia 2022 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nickel and Nickel Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Rutherford Single Vineyard Quarry Vineyard 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $60.03 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pierre Sparr Cremant d'Alsace Brut Rose sparkling · Alsace · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Pinhal da Torre Alqueve Tradicional White white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Montefico 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $82.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saurus Select Pinot Noir Patagonia 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Secrets de Mar Blanco Terra Alta 2021 white · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Secrets de Mar Tinto Terra Alta 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sleight Of Hand Cellars The Conjurer Red Blend Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home White Merlot white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tomasello Winery Blueberry Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Txakoli Primo Rose Zarautz 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Jolanda Moscato Pineapple white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Airfield Estates Merlot Yakima Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amisfield Estate Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antler Ridge Winery Ashley Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 | ▲ 8.2% | ▲ 12.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Areyna Torrontes Cafayate Salta 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Arrogant Frog Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.49 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bomon Shampe Angel Sparkling White Wine Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Buck Shack Cabernet Sauvignon Bourbon Barrel Aged 2022 red · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| CK Mondavi Family Vineyards Chardonnay white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.33 $16.59 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 10.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Decoy Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 27% typically +4% if it rises |
| Domaine Grande Bellane Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine des Farondes Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Finca PE Vinho Verde White 2023 white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml | $3.23 $10.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fish Eye Pinot Grigio white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 23.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Grounded by Josh Phelps Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| LaLuca Prosecco Rose 2021 sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml | $3.93 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
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