Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Brothers Ruby Port California dessert · California Central Valley · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 | ▲ 4.0% | ▲ 8.3% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +7% if it rises |
| Christopher Michael Red Blend Horse Heaven Hills 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| DFJ Portada White Lisboa Reserva 2021 white · 750 ml | $12.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de Cristia Cotes du Rhone Vieilles Vignes Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre En Provence Cru Classe Cotes de Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Firriato Chiaramonte Nero d'Avola Sicilia 2020 red · Sicily · 750 ml | $8.93 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Muga Blanco Rioja 2025 white · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Nobilo Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough white · Marlborough · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $15.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Placeres Sensoriales Tempranillo Maceracion Carbonica Rioja Joven 2021 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saviah Cellars The Jack Red Wine Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.73 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stefania Zaporizhia Sparkling Semi Sweet Ukraine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| The Federalist Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | ▼ 5.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tohu Sauvignon Blanc Awatere Valley 2023 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Yellow Tail Cabernet Sauvignon 2x1.5L Multipack red · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +4% if it rises |
| Yori Wine Cellars Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +6% if it rises |
| Brilla Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | ▲ 6.3% | — | Fairly priced | 16% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Pesquie Terrasses Ventoux Rose 2024 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $16.99 $17.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Line 39 Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.49 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Matchbook Cabernet Sauvignon Red Gravel Dunnigan Hills 2020 red · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Patrick Bottex La Cueille Rose Cerdon Bugey Method Ancestrale rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +4% if it rises |
| Quail Oak Chardonnay California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +12% if it rises |
| Ricca Terra Bullets Before Cannonballs Red Blend Riverland 2020 red · Riverland (South Eastern Australia) · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stellenbosch Hills Polkadraai Sauvignon Blanc 2024 white · Western Cape · 3000 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Azelia Dolcetto d'Alba Bricco dell Oriolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $11.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hearst Ranch Three Sisters Cuvee White Blend Paso Robles white · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +4% if it rises |
| Jasci Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2022 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mylonas Savatiano Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paitin Barbera d'Alba Serra 2022 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Savory and James Cream Sherry dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Sutter Home Pinot Grigio 2x1.5 L Multipack white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 8.7% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Amity Vineyards Pinot Noir White Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.13 $22.89 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Freakshow Red Wine Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▼ 5.5% | 11% premium | 1% |
| Morgan Cotes du Crow's Monterey 2019 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mouton Cadet x Mathilde Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Pago del Vicario Blanco de Tempranillo 2023 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Parini Prosecco Rose Brut sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Single Post Riesling Kabinett 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.03 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Feisty Buckwheat Blossom Sweet Mead 2018 red · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Casato Pinot Grigio Valdadige white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.39 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Mulderbosch Cabernet Sauvignon Rose Coastal Region 2025 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | — | — | 11% premium | <1% |
| Noble Vines 667 Pinot Noir Monterey County red · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.49 | ▲ 3.3% | ▲ 3.3% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Layer Cake Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mauro Molino Barbera d'Asti Leradici 2020 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa des Anges Cabernet Sauvignon Vin de France red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +9% if it rises |
| Domaine de Bel Air Pouilly Fume 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pretty Venom Pinot Noir Willamette Valley signed by All Time Low 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $17.93 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Stefania Kharkiv Sparkling Semi Dry Ukraine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Villa Wolf Sparkling Pinot Noir Rose Pfalz sparkling · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 11% premium | 4% |
| Yarden Pinot Gris Galilee 2020 white · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Antucura Barrandica Malbec Uco Valley 2022 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $10.79 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
5,101–5,150 of 6,416← PreviousNext →