Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castello dei Rampolla Chianti Classico 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cliff Lede Rhythm Cabernet Sauvignon Stag's Leap District 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $75.03 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Francois et Julien Pinon Les Deronnieres Vouvray 2022 red · Loire · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | 53% premium | 1% |
| William Hill Estate Winery Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Beaujolais red · Beaujolais · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $32.99 | ▲ 9.3% | ▲ 26.9% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Priest Ranch Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Quinta d'Aguieira Arco Tinto Bairrada 2017 red · 750 ml | $8.73 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Facts Cabernet Sauvignon Screen Printed Bottle red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Amisfield Pinot Noir Central Otago 2019 red · 750 ml | $12.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lorenzo Lo Bendito Malbec Agrelo 2019 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Atlas Peak Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Atlas Peak Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $25.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Elvio Cogno Bordini Barbaresco 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $40.19 $66.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gai'a Agiorgitiko Nemea 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Morgan Double L Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Lucia Highlands 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Terrazas de los Andes Malbec Mendoza Reserva red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▼ 3.8% | 0.0% | 54% premium | 5% |
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2021 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Mouton Rothschild Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $1,100 | ▲ 10.0% | — | 54% premium | 2% |
| Mirafiore Barolo Lazzarito 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% premium | <1% |
| Pala S'Arai Isola dei Nuraghi 2021 red · 750 ml | $24.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.93 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Beau Sejour Becot Saint Emilion 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Domaine des 2 Anes Fontanilles Corbieres 2019 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ontanon Rioja Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Villa Cerna Primocolle Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Baigorri Mendi Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $24.99 $26.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2020 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% premium | <1% |
| Biale Vineyards Zinfandel Black Chicken Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Poujeaux Moulis en Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $41.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Aperture Cellars Red Sonoma County 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Trotte Vieille Saint Emilion 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $130 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Concha Y Toro Don Melchor Cabernet Sauvignon Puente Alto 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $130 | — | — | 56% premium | 1% |
| Old Vine Ranch Old Vine Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Borgogno Dolcetto d'Alba 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $16.19 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% premium | <1% |
| Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2020 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $59.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $155 | — | — | 57% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Brane Cantenac Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $29.93 $99.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Monnalisa Sangiovese di Romagna Superiore red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | 57% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri 2021 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $24.99 $44.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Palmer Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $600 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hess Collection Maverick Ranches Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $32.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Chateau Smith Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $55.43 $185 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% premium | <1% |
| Lucashof Pet Nat 2022 red · 750 ml | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Cos D'Estournel Saint Estephe Rouge 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $400 | ▲ 14.3% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Bolgheri Superiore 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $41.99 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Lascombes Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $111 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Freeman Vineyard and Winery Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $23.53 $45.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Rio Sordo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $89.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.93 $130 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Grand Marnier Cordon Rouge red · 1000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $42.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 15% typically +6% if it rises |
5,101–5,150 of 5,705← PreviousNext →