Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Periquita Red Peninsula de Setubal red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.93 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Poggio Anima Samael Montepulciano d'Abruzzo red · Abruzzo · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +23% if it rises |
| Portlandia Pinot Gris 2022 white · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Warwick The First Lady Dry Rose South Africa 2022 rosé · Western Cape · 750 ml | $7.53 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Westmount Chardonnay Willamette Valley 2021 white · Oregon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Avignonesi Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Baron Herzog Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Chateau Branaire Ducru Saint Julien 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau du Tertre Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.43 $62.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Col d'Orcia Spezieri Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.73 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dila O Rkatsiteli Mtsvane Dry Amber Wine Georgia 2023 red · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Kuentz Bas Alsace Blanc 2020 white · Alsace · 750 ml | $8.73 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Meursault Charmes 1er Cru 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $40.43 $135 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| EG by Educated Guess Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Ethic Drinks Let It Bee Cabernet Sauvignon 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Fish Eye Chardonnay white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.23 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 15.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Imagery Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 25% typically +4% if it rises |
| LEcole No 41 Chenin Blanc Old Vines Yakima Valley 2022 white · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavis Sauvignon Blanc Trevenezia 2024 white · 750 ml | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Les Fontanelles Pinot Noir Vin de Pays d'Oc Rouge 2020 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marques de Toro Mencia Finca La Moura Castilla y Leon 2022 red · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Perusini Pinot Grigio Colli Orientali del Friuli 2020 white · Friuli · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rubus Red Blend Organic Castilla De La Mancha 2020 red · 750 ml | $6.53 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saint Cosme Cotes du Rhone Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Saint Hilaire Sparkling Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Scotto Family Cellars Brut California Sparkling Wine sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Southern Right Sauvignon Blanc Walker Bay 2024 white · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sutter Home Red Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Tenuta Le Colonne Costa Toscana Rosato 2020 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $4.23 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tomasello Winery Pineapple Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +4% if it rises |
| Truth Be Told Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $10.13 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Twisted Cedar Chardonnay Lodi white · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.43 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Vina Eguia Tempranillo Rioja Reserva 2017 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Wellsley Farms Pinot Grigio Della Venezia DOC white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +9% if it rises |
| Angelo Negro Serra Lupini Roero Arneis 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Apothic Crush Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | ▼ 6.7% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Watermelon Moscato white · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 28% typically +4% if it rises |
| Barefoot Sweet Red red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.99 $14.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 7.1% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Black Box Sauvignon Blanc white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 4.2% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Botani Old Vine Moscatel dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Cakebread Family Bezel Sauvignon Blanc Paso Robles 2024 white · Paso Robles · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Emeringes Julienas Vieilles Vignes 2019 red · Beaujolais · 750 ml | $9.03 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Alain Caibourdin Les Racines Pouilly Fume 2022 white · Loire · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine Louis Jadot Clos de Malte Santenay Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Kim Crawford Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.43 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Loubadere Cotes de Gascogne Blanc 2023 white · 750 ml | $7.19 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolis Testal Rosso Verona 2019 red · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Produttori del Barbaresco Barbaresco Riserva Ovello 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $23.43 $82.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Prophecy Pinot Noir red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 16.7% | Fairly priced | 4% |
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