Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domaine des Chenevieres La Baronne Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Amisfield Estate Pinot Noir 2021 red · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Fuligni SJ San Jocopo Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Castello dei Rampolla Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Canon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $180 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alain Graillot Crozes Hermitage Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $25.79 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Amos Baneres Hey Penedes 2020 red · Penedes (Cava) · 750 ml | $23.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Ramon Bilbao Mirto Rioja Alta 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $39.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Dunham Red Blend Trutina Columbia Valley red · Washington · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | 1% |
| Mt Beautiful North Canterbury Pinot Noir 2020 red · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Chateau Mont Redon Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge red · Rhone · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | ▲ 5.8% | ▲ 10.0% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Six Hats Porkpie Red Blend Piekenierskloof 2015 red · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beringer Founders' Estate Merlot red · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 8.7% | 50% premium | 1% |
| Chateau Clerc Milon Pauillac 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $140 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Chateau Durfort Vivens Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $110 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Fess Parker The Big Easy Red Blend 2020 red · 750 ml | $34.99 $36.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | 1% |
| Mazza Vineyards Merlot red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 18.8% | 50% premium | 4% |
| Ponzi Vineyards Laurelwood Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Terra Madre Plavac Mali Dalmatia Croatia Red 2021 red · 750 ml | $23.99 | — | — | 50% premium | <1% |
| Diora Estate Grown La Grande Majeste Pinot Noir San Bernabe Vineyard Monterey 2021 red · Monterey · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | 1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe La Crau Chateauneuf Du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $30.93 $108 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| La Spinona Barbaresco Secondine 2019 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $22.43 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau d'Issan Margaux 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $99.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Lavau Rasteau 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 51% premium | <1% |
| Quilt Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $31.43 $105 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dei Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $10.43 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ruta 22 Malbec Mendoza red · Mendoza · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.13 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 7.7% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dubonnet Rouge red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.39 $20.79 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Mas Cremat L'Envie Organic Cotes du Roussillon Rouge 2022 red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Cecchi Chianti Classico red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 35.3% | 52% premium | 5% |
| Darioush Signature Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.73 $150 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Smith and Hook Cabernet Sauvignon Central Coast red · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 14% typically +5% if it rises |
| Txomin Etxaniz TX Getariako Txakolina 2023 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Lydian Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Marimar Estate Syrah Don Miguel Vineyard Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Gruaud Larose Saint Julien 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $146 $150 Sale | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 2% |
| Juxtapoz Red Blend North Coast red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.49 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Cape Coast 2021 red · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Chateau d'Aiguilhe Castillon Cotes de Bordeaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Qupe Grenache Santa Barbara County 2018 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Alta Cellars Cabernet Sauvignon Columbia Valley 2020 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | <1% |
| Continuum Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $89.93 $300 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Havens Cabernet Sauvignon Coombsville 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $22.19 $36.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 52% premium | 1% |
| Malvira Renesio Roero Arneis 2021 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $14.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Pareto's Estate Old Vine Zinfandel Lodi 2019 red · Lodi · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Santa Carolina Reserva de Familia Cabernet Sauvignon Maipo Valley 2020 red · Chile Central Valley · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% premium | <1% |
| Bodegas Ontanon Rioja Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Jordan Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $35.99 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marietta Cellars Syrah Gibson Block McDowell Valley 2018 red · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Simi Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▼ 8.0% | 53% premium | 4% |
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