Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Gott Zinfandel red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 11.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Oko Pinot Noir Pays d'Oc red · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +8% if it rises |
| Rapaura Springs Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| St Urbans Hof Estate Qba Riesling Mosel Dry 2021 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Puyanche Francs Cotes de Bordeaux Blanc 2022 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.19 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Montfort Vouvray red · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | ▲ 25.0% | ▲ 66.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chloe Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▼ 3.6% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Cupcake Vineyards Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 14.3% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine de la Fouquette Rose d Aurore Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $14.99 $16.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine des Farondes Pinot Noir Bourgogne 2022 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $22.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Graham Beck Sparkling Western Cape Brut sparkling · Western Cape · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 6% typically +6% if it rises |
| Hikari White Plum Wine white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +6% if it rises |
| Nine Hats Merlot Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $18.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| The Juice Asylum Il Terzo Grado Toscana Rosso 2022 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $14.99 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Zacharias Assyrtiko Greece White 2024 white · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Allegrini Palazzo della Torre Veronese Rosso red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Aveleda Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 20.0% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Barefoot Fruitscato Blueberry Moscato 2x1.5 L white · 3000 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 4% |
| Chateau Mukhrani Rkatsiteli Kartli 2018 red · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Il Molino di Grace Chianti Classico 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $11.03 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| J Lohr Chardonnay Riverstone Arroyo Seco white · Monterey · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.69 $17.69 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 10.6% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Juniata Valley Winery Red Wing Blackberry red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 9% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Mt Beautiful Sauvignon Blanc North Canterbury 2022 white · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Petrolo Torrione Val d'Arno di Sopra Toscana 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $5.93 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Purple Haze Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sierra Del Mar Pinot Noir Clarksburg 2023 red · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Astrolabe Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2024 white · Marlborough · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de la Chanteleuserie Bourgueil Cuvee Alouettes 2024 red · Loire · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Terredora Di Paolo Falanghina Irpinia 2022 red · 750 ml | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Xavier Frissant Touraine Sauvignon Blanc 2023 white · Loire · 750 ml | $9.59 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Chauvet Bordeaux Superieur 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Marques de Caceres Crianza Rioja red · Rioja · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.59 $16.59 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 3.8% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Quail Oak Pinot Grigio California white · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.22 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +12% if it rises |
| Aveleda Fonte Vinho Verde Rose rosé · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $11.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +8% if it rises |
| Bailly Lapierre Cremant de Bourgogne Rose sparkling · Burgundy · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.99 | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 7% typically +5% if it rises |
| Calera Chardonnay Central Coast white · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $12.49 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Cantina Zaccagnini Pinot Grigio white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $18.69 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +9% if it rises |
| Fugaz Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +11% if it rises |
| House of the Dragon Red Wine Lodi red · Lodi · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | 1% |
| Marques de Lara Vinho Verde white · Vinho Verde · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.33 $11.39 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Mouton Cadet x Nathan Sauvignon Blanc white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 $17.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Nicodemi Notari Montepulciano d'Abruzzo Colline Teramane 2017 red · Abruzzo · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Salcheto Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $18.73 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sun Soaked Peach Moscato white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.63 $5.19 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 3% |
| Autumn Frost Peach Chardonnay Wine Spritzer white · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Ghost Pines Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 9.5% | Fairly priced | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Pali Wine Co Huntington Pinot Noir Santa Barbara County 2019 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pendulum Red Blend Columbia Valley 2021 red · Washington · 750 ml | $5.93 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 10% premium | <1% |
| Virtue Cellars Sincerity Syrah Horse Heaven Hills 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Willamette Valley Vineyards Pinot Gris Willamette Valley white · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 17.7% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +9% if it rises |
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