Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trerose Santa Caterina Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.43 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $41.93 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hess Lion Tamer Red Blend Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur St Estephe 2021 red · 750 ml | $13.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pasquale Pelissero Barbaresco Bricco San Giuliano 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $35.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Black Stallion Estate Winery Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.93 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cambria Estate Winery Julia's Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2022 red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $37.53 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Emblem Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Demoiselles de la Font du Loup Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $11.73 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Vignobles Mayard Clos du Calvaire Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $12.73 $42.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2016 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $62.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Ramey Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $14.53 $47.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Defaix Freres Chablis 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaine Henri and Gilles Buisson Le Jarron Saint Romain Blanc 2016 white · 750 ml | $20.03 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Nicolis Amarone della Valpolicella Classico Ambrosan 2011 red · Veneto · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Paraduxx Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $13.93 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $55.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Jayson by Pahlmeyer Red Blend Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $44.99 $74.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Gundlach Bundschu Pinot Noir Petaluma Gap 2021 red · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $34.53 $65.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Penfolds Bin 28 Kalimna Shiraz South Australia 2018 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $47.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Sandeman Porto Founders Reserve dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | ▲ 11.1% | ▲ 36.4% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
| Bethel Heights Estate Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2022 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $26.99 $29.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Powerline Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2017 red · Washington · 750 ml | $11.73 $41.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Easton Pinot Noir Duarte Georgetown Vineyard Sierra Foothills 2013 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Southern Right Pinotage Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020 red · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $16.43 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $59.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Handley Cellars Syrah Kazmet Vineyard Redwood Valley 2017 red · 750 ml | $6.93 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Lavinea Pinot Noir Temperance Hill Vineyard Eola Amity Hills 2017 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $23.93 $39.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Mano's Eagles Championship Eagles Etched Cabernet Sauvignon red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkastler Badstube Mosel Kabinett 2020 white · Mosel · 750 ml | $43.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Pali Wine Co Highlands Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2017 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine du Clos des Poulettes Vierville Cote de Nuits Villages Rouge 2019 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $19.73 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dow's Tawny Porto 20 Year Old dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $70.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.43 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Sonoma County red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 15.4% | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $19.79 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| La Biblioteca Pinot Noir Estate Reserve Willamette Valley 2021 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $21.93 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
501–550 of 2,525← PreviousNext →