Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Trerose Santa Caterina Vino Nobile di Montepulciano 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$19.43 $25.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Groth Cabernet Sauvignon Oakville 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$41.93 $69.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Hess Lion Tamer Red Blend Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$14.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Marquis de Calon Segur St Estephe 2021
red · 750 ml
$13.43 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pasquale Pelissero Barbaresco Bricco San Giuliano 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$35.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Black Stallion Estate Winery Estate Grown Cabernet Sauvignon Gaspare Vineyard Oak Knoll District of Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.93 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cambria Estate Winery Julia's Vineyard Pinot Noir Santa Maria Valley 2022
red · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$6.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Malartic Lagraviere Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$37.53 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$22.43 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Emblem Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2017
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Les Demoiselles de la Font du Loup Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$11.73 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Vignobles Mayard Clos du Calvaire Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2019
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$12.73 $42.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lisini Brunello di Montalcino 2016
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$62.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Ramey Pinot Noir Russian River Valley 2018
red · Sonoma · 750 ml
$14.53 $47.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Defaix Freres Chablis 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$32.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaine Henri and Gilles Buisson Le Jarron Saint Romain Blanc 2016
white · 750 ml
$20.03 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Nicolis Amarone della Valpolicella Classico Ambrosan 2011
red · Veneto · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Paraduxx Proprietary Red Wine Napa Valley 2019
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$13.93 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2020
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Frank Family Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$55.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Jayson by Pahlmeyer Red Blend Napa Valley 2021
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$44.99 $74.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2020
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Gundlach Bundschu Pinot Noir Petaluma Gap 2021
red · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Graacher Himmelreich Mosel Auslese 2020
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$34.53 $65.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Penfolds Bin 28 Kalimna Shiraz South Australia 2018
red · South Australia · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lachini Vineyards Lachini Family Estate Pinot Noir Chehalem Mountains 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Le Marquis de Calon Segur Saint Estephe 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$47.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Sandeman Porto Founders Reserve
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.99▲ 11.1%▲ 36.4%Fairly priced7%
typically +7% if it rises
Bethel Heights Estate Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills 2022
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Domaines Ott By Ott Cotes de Provence Rose 2024
rosé · Provence · 750 ml
$26.99 $29.99 Sale 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Charles Smith Wines of Substance Vineyard Collection Powerline Cabernet Sauvignon Walla Walla Valley 2017
red · Washington · 750 ml
$11.73 $41.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Phelan Segur Saint Estephe 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Easton Pinot Noir Duarte Georgetown Vineyard Sierra Foothills 2013
red · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Southern Right Pinotage Hemel en Aarde Valley 2020
red · 750 ml
$32.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$16.43 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine du Vieux Telegraphe Telegramme Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2022
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$59.99 0.0%—Fairly priced1%
Handley Cellars Syrah Kazmet Vineyard Redwood Valley 2017
red · 750 ml
$6.93 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Lavinea Pinot Noir Temperance Hill Vineyard Eola Amity Hills 2017
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$23.93 $39.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Mano's Eagles Championship Eagles Etched Cabernet Sauvignon
red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$49.99 0.0%—Fairly priced10%
typically +5% if it rises
Joh Jos Prum Riesling Bernkastler Badstube Mosel Kabinett 2020
white · Mosel · 750 ml
$43.99 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Pali Wine Co Highlands Chardonnay Santa Rita Hills 2017
white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Domaine du Clos des Poulettes Vierville Cote de Nuits Villages Rouge 2019
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$19.73 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Dow's Tawny Porto 20 Year Old
dessert · Douro · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$70.99 0.0%—Fairly priced7%
typically +10% if it rises
Stags' Leap Winery Merlot Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0% 0.0%Fairly priced<1%
Beaulieu Vineyard Tapestry Reserve Red Wine Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.43 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Rodney Strong Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley Sonoma County
red · Sonoma · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$29.99 0.0%▲ 15.4%Fairly priced5%
Clos des Brusquieres Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2021
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$32.99 $54.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
Cakebread Cellars Sauvignon Blanc Napa Valley 2023
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$19.79 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
La Biblioteca Pinot Noir Estate Reserve Willamette Valley 2021
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$21.93 $37.99 Clearance 0.0%—Fairly priced<1%
501–550 of 2,525← PreviousNext →