Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pommery Apanage Blanc de Blancs Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.73 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Ferrari Trentodoc Brut Rose sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Iron Horse Classic Vintage Brut Green Valley of Russian River Valley 2019 sparkling · Sonoma · 750 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Riondo Prosecco Spago Nero sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $17.99 Sale | ▲ 1.7% | ▲ 20.0% | 26% premium | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Verdi Spumante sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.69 $17.69 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 8% typically +9% if it rises |
| Laetitia Brut Cuvee RM Arroyo Grande Valley sparkling · Central Coast · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $26.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Champagne Palmer Blanc de Blancs Champagne sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $23.93 $79.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Calvet Cremant de Bordeaux Brut Rose sparkling · Bordeaux · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Caldirola Merry Christmas Sparkling Moscato sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.33 $18.99 Clearance | ▲ 26.7% | ▲ 26.7% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Alasia Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | ▲ 2.4% | ▲ 13.3% | Fairly priced | 6% typically +5% if it rises |
| Saracco Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.21 $18.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 24.7% | 28% premium | 1% |
| Risata Moscato d'Asti sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 9% typically +4% if it rises |
| Ruffino Organic Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $13.13 $17.69 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.1% | Fairly priced | 4% |
| McWilliams Sparkling Shiraz 2024 sparkling · 750 ml | $12.99 $16.99 Sale | — | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Raptor Ridge Estate Cuvee Sparkling Brut Rose 2019 sparkling · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Hula o Maui Pineapple Sparkling Wine sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| MaraBela Sparkling Tea Wild Verbena Nonalcoholic sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | 4% |
| Paltrinieri Pira Lambrusco di Sorbara 2023 sparkling · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2023 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | 29% premium | 1% |
| Ployez Jacquemart Champagne Extra Quality Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $53.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Scharffenberger Brut Rose Mendocino County sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $28.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +6% if it rises |
| Tenuta Olim Bauda La Villa Barbera d'Asti 2022 sparkling · Piedmont · 750 ml | $13.19 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% premium | <1% |
| Banfi Rosa Regale Red Sparkling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.49 | ▲ 2.3% | ▲ 2.3% | 30% premium | 8% typically +5% if it rises |
| Maschio Prosecco Extra Dry sparkling · Veneto · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.89 $5.79 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Leclerc Briant Extra Brut Champagne 2019 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $92.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +14% if it rises |
| Dom Perignon Brut Rose Champagne 2009 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $480 | — | — | 31% premium | 4% |
| Louis Roederer Cristal Brut Champagne Deluxe Gift Box 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $350 $400 Sale | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 4% |
| Champagne Louis Roederer Cristal Brut Champagne Deluxe Gift Box 2015 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $240 $400 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | <1% |
| Bouvet Ladubay Tresor Brut Loire Rose sparkling · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $10.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bojador Blanc de Blancs Alentejo Brut sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.93 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 1% |
| Santa Margherita Prosecco Superiore sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 32% premium | 1% |
| 90 Plus Cellars Prosecco Brut Lot 50 sparkling · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | 4% |
| Roederer Estate L'Ermitage Brut 2019 sparkling · 750 ml | $79.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% |
| Zoinos Brut Epirus 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Hi Prosecco Extra Dry Non Vintage sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.99 | ▲ 6.7% | — | 34% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Brut Rose sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $74.99 $125 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 47.1% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| A Margaine Special Club Blanc de Blancs 1er Cru Brut Champagne 2016 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $71.99 $120 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% premium | <1% |
| La Marca Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $12.99 Sale | 0.0% | ▲ 18.2% | Fairly priced | 17% typically +6% if it rises |
| Loveblock Sparkling Sauvignon Blanc Marlborough 2022 sparkling · Marlborough · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 2% |
| South Shore Wine Company Sparkling Riesling sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.93 $25.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% premium | 1% |
| Bagueri Sparkling Brut Slovenia sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $9.53 $31.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% premium | 1% |
| La Marca Prosecco Rose sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | 39% premium | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Moet and Chandon Nectar Imperial Champagne Rose sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $31.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 6.7% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +6% if it rises |
| Weingut Lucashof Petillant Naturel Pfalz 2021 sparkling · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 750 ml | $11.33 $37.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Woodbridge by Robert Mondavi Sparkling Infusions Strawberry and Kiwi sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.73 $14.59 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Bryn Mawr Vineyards Brut Rose Willamette Valley sparkling · Oregon · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | 1% |
| Viarae Prosecco sparkling · Veneto · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Tetes Les Parcelles Tete Nat Orange Vin de France Sparkling 2021 sparkling · 750 ml | $25.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 5% typically +10% if it rises |
| J Roget Spumante sparkling · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $15.59 | 0.0% | ▲ 11.4% | 41% premium | 7% typically +8% if it rises |
| Mionetto Prosecco Brut sparkling · Veneto · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $29.99 $32.99 Sale | ▲ 9.3% | ▲ 13.8% | Fairly priced | 7% typically +7% if it rises |
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