Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barton and Guestier Rose d'Anjou rosé · Loire · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.49 | ▲ 12.2% | ▲ 16.7% | 24% premium | 2% |
| Solis Lumen Vin de Pays d'Oc Rose 2023 rosé · Languedoc-Roussillon · 750 ml | $4.93 $14.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Quinta da Ribeirinha Vale de Lobos Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $7.73 $12.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Buttonwood Grove Winery Rose of Cabernet Franc 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $6.53 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 25% premium | <1% |
| Riley's Row Rose of Syrah North Coast 2021 rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.23 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fabre en Provence Cru Classe Cotes de Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $20.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2021 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Moselland Pfalz Rose Cat Bottle rosé · Rheinhessen / Pfalz · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | Fairly priced | 30% typically +5% if it rises |
| Les Rocailles Savoie Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Sacha Lichine The Pale Vin de Pays du Var Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $16.99 | ▲ 13.3% | — | 28% premium | 1% |
| Chateau de Trinquevedel Tavel Rose 2021 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $13.13 $21.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Time and Direction Wines UpUpDownDownLeftRightLeftRightBASelectStart Grenache Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $7.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de L'Olivette Tradition Bandol Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Dancing Vines Light Secco Rose La Mancha rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.73 $16.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Barefoot Wine To Go Rose rosé · 500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $5.99 $6.99 Sale | ▲ 16.7% | ▲ 40.1% | Fairly priced | 10% typically +7% if it rises |
| Julias Dazzle Rose Columbia Valley 2022 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Julias Dazzle Rose Columbia Valley 2023 rosé · Washington · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaines Ott Clos Mireille Cotes de Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $49.99 $53.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 31% premium | 1% |
| Domaine Ilarria Irouleguy Rose 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Les Lauzeraies Rose Tavel 2023 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Demarie Luigi Vino Frizzante Roero Rose rosé · Piedmont · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 32% premium | 5% typically +4% if it rises |
| Chateau Sainte Roseline Le Cloitre Cotes de Provence Rose 2025 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $21.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Commanderie de la Bargemone Cuvee Marina Collection Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2022 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $32.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Chateau de Trinquevedel Tavel Rose 2022 rosé · Rhone · 750 ml | $6.73 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% premium | <1% |
| Chandon Rose rosé · 187 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $2.43 $7.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Val delle Rose Morellino di Scansano Rosamante 2022 rosé · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| South Shore Wine Company Pet Nat Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.89 | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Studio by Miraval IGP Mediterranee Rose 2024 rosé · 750 ml | $13.99 $16.99 Sale | — | — | 36% premium | 1% |
| Santa Margherita Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $22.99 $24.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 36% premium | 6% typically +4% if it rises |
| Les Rocailles Savoie Rose 2025 rosé · 750 ml | $17.99 | — | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Luc Belaire Rare Rose rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $21.73 $72.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Josh Scott Bla Bla Bla Rose 2023 rosé · 750 ml | $12.03 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Calafe Irpinia Rosato 2020 rosé · 750 ml | $5.73 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Bodegas Victoria Ordonez Jabega Rosado Malaga 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $6.73 $20.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Fleur de Prairie Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.99 | ▲ 6.1% | ▲ 31.3% | Fairly priced | 22% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2024 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $32.99 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% premium | <1% |
| Bargemone Libre Rose Coteaux d'Aix en Provence 2023 rosé · Provence · 1500 ml | $15.93 $54.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% premium | <1% |
| Natura Rose Twin Pack 2x750mL rosé · 1500 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.73 $23.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | 2% |
| Ava Grace Rose California rosé · California Central Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $3.73 $12.49 Clearance | 0.0% | ▲ 25.0% | Fairly priced | 1% |
| Pascal et Nicolas Reverdy Terre de Maimbray Sancerre Rose 2022 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $22.43 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 41% premium | <1% |
| Pascal et Nicolas Reverdy Terre de Maimbray Sancerre Rose 2023 rosé · Loire · 750 ml | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 42% premium | <1% |
| Hacienda de Arinzano Tempranillo Rose Navarra 2021 rosé · 750 ml | $5.23 $17.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Domaine de l'Olivette Tradition Bandol Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $6.93 $24.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | Fairly priced | <1% |
| Marchese Luca Spinola della Cascina Massimilliana Frizzante Rosato rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $11.99 $19.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 43% premium | 1% |
| Barton and Guestier Tourmaline Rose Cotes de Provence rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $20.79 | 0.0% | ▲ 4.0% | 45% premium | 3% |
| Pink Flamingo Catalina Estrada Gris de Gris Rose rosé · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $17.99 $19.99 Sale | ▲ 25.0% | — | Fairly priced | 12% typically +5% if it rises |
| Maison Saint AIX Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2023 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $6.93 $22.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 47% premium | <1% |
| Maison Saint AIX Coteaux d'Aix en Provence Rose 2024 rosé · Provence · 750 ml | $20.99 $22.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 47% premium | <1% |
| M Minuty Cotes de Provence Rose rosé · Provence · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $19.99 $21.99 Sale | ▼ 3.9% | 0.0% | 48% premium | 4% |
| Adelsheim Rose Willamette Valley 2023 rosé · Oregon · 750 ml | $8.33 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 50% premium | <1% |
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