Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chateau Paveil de Luze Margaux 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 59% below | <1% |
| Zo Wines Zinfandel Triple Ten Vineyard Dry Creek Valley 2019 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 59% below | <1% |
| Louis M Martini Cabernet Sauvignon Alexander Valley 2017 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | <1% |
| Athenaeum Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 58% below | <1% |
| Opici Vineyards Madeira dessert · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Cune Rioja Gran Reserva 2016 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | <1% |
| Knock Knock Red Blend red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.97 $8.29 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 58% below | 2% |
| Il Poggione Toscana Rosso 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $15.99 | 0.0% | — | 58% below | <1% |
| Tortoise Creek Pinot Noir 2022 red · 750 ml | $8.99 | — | — | 58% below | 1% |
| Chateau Haut Maurac Cru Bourgeois Medoc 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $14.99 | — | — | 58% below | 1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Chardonnay Alexander Valley 2019 white · Sonoma · 375 ml | $2.03 $6.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Alexander Valley Vineyards Dry Rose of Sangiovese Sonoma County 2023 rosé · Sonoma · 750 ml | $7.99 | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Frescobaldi Remole Toscana Rosso 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Domaine Rosaz Vin des Allobroges 2024 red · 750 ml | $11.99 | 0.0% | — | 57% below | 1% |
| Chateau Gazin Rocquencourt Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $20.99 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 57% below | <1% |
| Basel Cellars Claret Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 56% below | 1% |
| Daou Cabernet Sauvignon Paso Robles red · Paso Robles · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $7.84 $15.69 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% below | 1% |
| Frescobaldi Remole Toscana Rosso 2020 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $2.93 $9.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 56% below | <1% |
| Ruta 22 Reserve Cabernet Sauvignon Uco Valley 2021 red · Mendoza · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 56% below | 4% |
| Two Hands Angels Share Shiraz McLaren Vale 2022 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 56% below | <1% |
| Layer Cake Cabernet Sauvignon 2022 red · 750 ml | $6.99 | — | — | 56% below | 9% typically +13% if it rises |
| MD 20 20 Banana Red red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $6.19 | 0.0% | ▲ 24.0% | 56% below | 6% typically +12% if it rises |
| Tamarack Cellars River Crossing Cabernet Sauvignon Barrel Reserve Columbia Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $16.99 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | 1% |
| Chateau Labegorce Margaux 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $12.43 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Cune Rioja Gran Reserva 2018 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Spring Valley Vineyard Frederick Red Wine Walla Walla Valley 2019 red · Washington · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | 55% below | 1% |
| Chateau Montelena Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2019 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $84.99 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Frescobaldi Remole Toscana Rosso red · Tuscany · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.99 $9.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 55% below | 7% typically +10% if it rises |
| Lorinon Rioja Reserva 2015 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Conte Lorenzo Sormani Barolo 2020 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $24.99 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Berceo Seleccion Graciano Rioja 2020 red · Rioja · 750 ml | $8.99 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | <1% |
| Oak Leaf Vineyards Shiraz red · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $4.09 | 0.0% | — | 55% below | 11% typically +4% if it rises |
| Arterberry Maresh Pinot Noir Dundee Hills 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $14.03 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 55% below | <1% |
| Chateau Noaillac Medoc 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $10.43 $13.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Ridolfi Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Unshackled Sparkling California 2018 sparkling · California Central Valley · 750 ml | $9.99 | ▼ 58.4% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Sanford Chardonnay Sta Rita Hills Estate Grown 2018 white · Santa Barbara · 750 ml | $17.99 | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Louis Jadot Bourgogne Gamay 2021 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $14.99 | 0.0% | — | 54% below | 1% |
| Penfolds Bin 704 Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2021 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $42.03 $69.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | 1% |
| Chateau Yon Saint Emilion Grand Cru 2016 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $26.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 54% below | 1% |
| Salvestrin Sauvignon Blanc St Helena Napa Valley 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Ashbourne Sauvignon Blanc Chardonnay Walker Bay 2019 white · 750 ml | $3.53 $11.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Beckon Pinot Noir Central Coast 2016 red · Central Coast · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Smith and Elliott Pinot Noir Sonoma Coast 2021 red · Sonoma · 750 ml | $9.99 | — | — | 54% below | 1% |
| Substance Rb Red Blend Columbia Valley 2022 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Wakefield Cabernet Sauvignon Clare Valley Estate 2019 red · South Australia · 750 ml | $3.93 $15.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 54% below | <1% |
| Marimar Estate Albarino Don Miguel Vineyard Russian River Valley 2021 white · Sonoma · 750 ml | $4.93 $18.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Two Hands Sexy Beast Cabernet Sauvignon McLaren Vale 2022 red · McLaren Vale · 750 ml | $19.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Concha y Toro Gran Reserva Preserving Nature Sauvignon Blanc Ucuquer Vineyard 2023 white · Rueda / Toro · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% below | <1% |
| Chateau Ducasse Graves Rouge 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $9.99 | 0.0% | — | 53% below | 1% |
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