Cellar Index
Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today

Wine prices, tracked and forecast

Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.

How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Popular winesMost likely to riseCollector watchBest valuesAll wines

Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.

WineShelf price1yr History5yr Historyvs fair priceChance of a rise within a year
Louis Jadot Chablis 2023
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$27.99——42% below1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2021
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$56.99 0.0%—41% below1%
Orin Swift Sign of the Times Red 2023
red · 750 ml
$29.99——41% below1%
Elk Cove Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$27.99 0.0%—41% below<1%
Scrimaglio Barolo 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—41% below<1%
Conn Creek Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$14.99 $29.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%40% below<1%
Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$32.99 0.0%—40% below1%
Clos Marsalette Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$36.99 0.0%—40% below<1%
Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$44.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—40% below<1%
Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2022
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$59.99 $64.99 Sale 0.0%—39% below2%
Silenus Winery Tyros Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$9.93 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—39% below<1%
Nicolas Feuillatte Champagne Brut Reserve
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$54.99▲ 14.6%▲ 37.5%38% below2%
Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$19.73 $32.99 Clearance 0.0%—38% below<1%
Domaine Durieu Chateauneuf du Pape 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—38% below<1%
Louis Dumont Champagne Brut
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$38.99 $42.99 Sale▲ 7.5%▲ 30.3%37% below7%
typically +6% if it rises
Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2023
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$34.99——37% below3%
Northstar Walla Walla Red Blend 2015
red · Washington · 750 ml
$8.23 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—37% below<1%
Trimbach Reserve Pinot Noir Alsace 2022
red · Alsace · 750 ml
$16.79 $27.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Summit View Vineyard Walla Walla 2018
red · Washington · 750 ml
$9.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$35.73 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below<1%
Ferrari Trentodoc Brut Formula One Gift Pack
sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$8.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—36% below1%
Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2015
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0%—35% below<1%
Taittinger Champagne Brut
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$66.99 0.0%▲ 21.8%35% below6%
typically +10% if it rises
Vineyard 29 Cru Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$54.99 0.0% 0.0%35% below1%
Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montee de Tonnerre 1er Cru 2022
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$44.99——35% below1%
Smith Madrone Riesling Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2017
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—35% below1%
Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Clos des Guettes Savigny Les Beaune 1er Cru Blanc 2020
white · Burgundy · 750 ml
$60.99 0.0%—35% below1%
WT Vintners Syrah Stoney Vine Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016
red · Washington · 750 ml
$17.93 $29.99 Clearance 0.0%—35% below<1%
Billecart Salmon Champagne Reserve Brut
sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$36.99 0.0%▲ 23.3%35% below6%
typically +10% if it rises
Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2019
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$64.99 0.0%—34% below1%
Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Decoy Limited Napa Valley
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$34.99 0.0%—34% below10%
typically +5% if it rises
Bovio Barolo 2016
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$49.99 0.0% 0.0%34% below<1%
Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2017
red · Piedmont · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—34% below<1%
Lete Vautrain Brut Champagne Millesime 2014
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml
$39.99 0.0%—33% below<1%
Chateau Beauchene Vignobles de la Serriere Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020
red · Rhone · 750 ml
$29.99 0.0%—33% below<1%
Frank Family Vineyard Chardonnay Carneros 2022
white · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$10.93 $35.99 Clearance 0.0%—33% below<1%
Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$38.99 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—32% below<1%
Perrier Jouet Champagne Grand Brut
sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$59.99 $64.99 Sale▼ 7.1%▲ 20.4%31% below15%
typically +7% if it rises
Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Mercurey 1er Cru Rouge 2020
red · Burgundy · 750 ml
$34.99 0.0%—30% below<1%
Seven Hills Merlot Seven Hills Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016
red · Washington · 750 ml
$7.93 $28.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino 2019
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$26.99 $44.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2018
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$19.93 $64.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Grgich Hills Estate Napa Valley Merlot 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$23.03 $46.99 Clearance 0.0%—30% below<1%
Beaulieu Vineyard Reserve Tapestry Red Wine Napa Valley 2020
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$17.93 $59.99 Clearance 0.0%—29% below<1%
Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills Willamette Valley 2018
red · Oregon · 750 ml
$20.93 $34.99 Clearance 0.0% 0.0%29% below<1%
Merryvale Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2018
red · Napa Valley · 750 ml
$37.99 0.0%—29% below<1%
Le Petit Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020
red · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$44.99 0.0%—29% below<1%
Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2017
red · Tuscany · 750 ml
$64.99 0.0%—28% below1%
Gaston Chiquet Tradition Champagne Brut 1er Cru
sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed
$27.99 0.0%▲ 12.0%27% below8%
typically +10% if it rises
Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019
white · Bordeaux · 750 ml
$25.03 $49.99 Clearance 0.0%—27% below<1%
51–100 of 2,525← PreviousNext →