Pennsylvania state store prices · 2016 to today
Wine prices, tracked and forecast
Ten years of official shelf prices for 31,256 wines, and a model that estimates each bottle's chance of a price rise or cut over the next year.
How often list prices change
2.8%
of wines get a new list price in a typical quarter, so the real question is which ones will move
How well the model spots upcoming price rises
0.891 next quarter
0.84 over a year. This is ranking accuracy, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC AUC): 1.0 is perfect, 0.5 is a coin flip.
Model
hgbq-20260928-160312
Trained on data through 2026-07-01
Wines whose shelf price is furthest below their fair price: what comparable wines cost, estimated from the region, grape, classification, age, bottle size, name and the producer's other wines, by a model that never saw the wine's own price. The biggest gaps are often a famous producer's second or entry-level wines: the model knows the producer's overall price level but can't always tell where a wine sits within its range.
| Wine | Shelf price | 1yr History | 5yr History | vs fair price | Chance of a rise within a year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Jadot Chablis 2023 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $27.99 | — | — | 42% below | 1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2021 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $56.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | 1% |
| Orin Swift Sign of the Times Red 2023 red · 750 ml | $29.99 | — | — | 41% below | 1% |
| Elk Cove Pinot Noir Willamette Valley 2019 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $27.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Scrimaglio Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 41% below | <1% |
| Conn Creek Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $14.99 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 40% below | <1% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $32.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | 1% |
| Clos Marsalette Pessac Leognan Rouge 2018 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $36.99 | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 40% below | <1% |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2022 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $59.99 $64.99 Sale | 0.0% | — | 39% below | 2% |
| Silenus Winery Tyros Cabernet Sauvignon Napa Valley 2022 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $9.93 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 39% below | <1% |
| Nicolas Feuillatte Champagne Brut Reserve sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $54.99 | ▲ 14.6% | ▲ 37.5% | 38% below | 2% |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $19.73 $32.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Domaine Durieu Chateauneuf du Pape 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 38% below | <1% |
| Louis Dumont Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $38.99 $42.99 Sale | ▲ 7.5% | ▲ 30.3% | 37% below | 7% typically +6% if it rises |
| Chateau Lilian Ladouys Saint Estephe 2023 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $34.99 | — | — | 37% below | 3% |
| Northstar Walla Walla Red Blend 2015 red · Washington · 750 ml | $8.23 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 37% below | <1% |
| Trimbach Reserve Pinot Noir Alsace 2022 red · Alsace · 750 ml | $16.79 $27.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Jolete Cabernet Sauvignon Summit View Vineyard Walla Walla 2018 red · Washington · 750 ml | $9.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $35.73 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | <1% |
| Ferrari Trentodoc Brut Formula One Gift Pack sparkling · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $8.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 36% below | 1% |
| Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2015 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Taittinger Champagne Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $66.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 21.8% | 35% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Vineyard 29 Cru Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $54.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 35% below | 1% |
| Domaine de Vauroux Chablis Montee de Tonnerre 1er Cru 2022 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $44.99 | — | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Smith Madrone Riesling Spring Mountain District Napa Valley 2017 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| Louis Jadot Domaine Gagey Clos des Guettes Savigny Les Beaune 1er Cru Blanc 2020 white · Burgundy · 750 ml | $60.99 | 0.0% | — | 35% below | 1% |
| WT Vintners Syrah Stoney Vine Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $17.93 $29.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 35% below | <1% |
| Billecart Salmon Champagne Reserve Brut sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $36.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 23.3% | 35% below | 6% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Prieure Lichine Margaux 2019 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 1% |
| Duckhorn Vineyards Cabernet Sauvignon Decoy Limited Napa Valley red · Napa Valley · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 34% below | 10% typically +5% if it rises |
| Bovio Barolo 2016 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $49.99 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 34% below | <1% |
| Damilano Lecinquevigne Barolo 2017 red · Piedmont · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 34% below | <1% |
| Lete Vautrain Brut Champagne Millesime 2014 sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml | $39.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Chateau Beauchene Vignobles de la Serriere Chateauneuf du Pape Rouge 2020 red · Rhone · 750 ml | $29.99 | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Frank Family Vineyard Chardonnay Carneros 2022 white · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $10.93 $35.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 33% below | <1% |
| Chateau Gloria Saint Julien 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $38.99 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 32% below | <1% |
| Perrier Jouet Champagne Grand Brut sparkling · Champagne · 750 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $59.99 $64.99 Sale | ▼ 7.1% | ▲ 20.4% | 31% below | 15% typically +7% if it rises |
| Domaine de Suremain Clos l'Eveque Mercurey 1er Cru Rouge 2020 red · Burgundy · 750 ml | $34.99 | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Seven Hills Merlot Seven Hills Vineyard Walla Walla Valley 2016 red · Washington · 750 ml | $7.93 $28.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Poggio Salvi Brunello di Montalcino 2019 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $26.99 $44.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2018 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $19.93 $64.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Grgich Hills Estate Napa Valley Merlot 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $23.03 $46.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 30% below | <1% |
| Beaulieu Vineyard Reserve Tapestry Red Wine Napa Valley 2020 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $17.93 $59.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 29% below | <1% |
| Domaine Drouhin Oregon Roserock Pinot Noir Eola Amity Hills Willamette Valley 2018 red · Oregon · 750 ml | $20.93 $34.99 Clearance | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29% below | <1% |
| Merryvale Pinot Noir Carneros Napa Valley 2018 red · Napa Valley · 750 ml | $37.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% below | <1% |
| Le Petit Haut Lafitte Pessac Leognan Rouge 2020 red · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $44.99 | 0.0% | — | 29% below | <1% |
| Altesino Brunello di Montalcino 2017 red · Tuscany · 750 ml | $64.99 | 0.0% | — | 28% below | 1% |
| Gaston Chiquet Tradition Champagne Brut 1er Cru sparkling · Champagne · 375 ml · non-vintage or vintage not listed | $27.99 | 0.0% | ▲ 12.0% | 27% below | 8% typically +10% if it rises |
| Chateau Larrivet Haut Brion Pessac Leognan Blanc 2019 white · Bordeaux · 750 ml | $25.03 $49.99 Clearance | 0.0% | — | 27% below | <1% |
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